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Pan African hunkers down

An "operationally challenging" financial year behind it, Pan African is gearing up for production growth
September 25, 2017

Pan African Resources (PAF) exited its financial year in June, bloodied but unbowed. Gold production – already sagging at the halfway mark – continued to drop, and ended 15.4 per cent down on 2016’s output of 204,928 ounces. And although the miner reshaped its portfolio of assets, took a scythe to net borrowings, and is set to see a marked increase in sales from next year, there can be no escaping the massive year-on-year jump in all-in sustaining costs. In 2016-17, it was 26.8 per cent in rand terms, or 35.3 per cent when accounted in dollars.

IC TIP: Buy at 13p

Full-year figures spelled out the operational challenges: eight weeks of suspended production at Evander, community unrest, regulatory inspections and lower grades from Barberton all coalesced to squash mining profits. Indeed, the £10.9m drop in pre-tax profit would have been worse had Pan African not made a ZAR91.3m (£5.39m) return on its disposal of the Uitkomst Colliery to Coal of Africa at the period end, after just 15 months of ownership.

Broker Peel Hunt expects adjusted pre-tax profit of £53.1m and EPS of 2.4p in the year to June 2018, rising to £74.2m and 2.9p in 2019.

PAN AFRICAN RESOURCES (PAF)  
ORD PRICE:13pMARKET VALUE:£291m
TOUCH:13-13.3p12-MONTH HIGH:23pLOW: 12p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.7%PE RATIO:11
NET ASSET VALUE:9.7pNET DEBT:2%
Year to 30 JunTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201313454.72.600.80
201415433.91.500.81
201514115.80.600.53
201616133.91.410.88
201717023.01.140.49
% change+5-32-19-45
Ex-div:7 Dec   
Payment:21 Dec