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Tarsus beats market thanks to strength in the US and China

Strong revenue and profit figures are the result of a sensible acquisition and event replication strategy
March 6, 2018

Renewed economic growth and decreased global political tensions provided the backdrop to a great 2017 for the media and events industry. Tarsus (TRS) led the pack, according to its chief executive, Douglas Emslie, who said that the group’s 7 per cent organic growth rate beat that of its peers. “For us, the US and China drove most of the growth,” he said. The former managed a 21 per cent increase in total revenues compared with 2016, despite the absence of biennial events, while high demand in the latter helped nearly double revenues in the Asian division.

IC TIP: Buy at 307p

Tarsus has mixed a sensible acquisition strategy with the replication of its existing shows in different geographies. In the last three years, it has launched 54 events and has another 12 planned for 2018. The two acquisitions made in 2017 boosted the group’s business in China and in Mexico, and Mr Emslie says he is targeting two to three medium-sized acquisitions this year as well.

This has the potential to boost annual pre-tax profits and EPS above the £27.9m and 17.4p currently forecast by broker Numis (from £19.3m and 15.1p in 2016). Mr Emslie is confident about strong 2018 because forward bookings are already higher than management’s 10 per cent target. 

TARSUS (TRS)    
ORD PRICE:307pMARKET VALUE:£347m
TOUCH:306-307p12-MONTH HIGH:336pLOW: 261p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.3%PE RATIO:14
NET ASSET VALUE:63p*NET DEBT:111%
Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201327.915.912.27.3
201450.97.15.07.8
201582.019.114.48.4
201668.48.66.99.1
201711827.921.510.0
% change+72+225+212+10
Ex-div:31 May   
Payment:12 Jul   
*Includes intangible assets of £188m, or 166p a share