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On The Beach misses expectations

The online travel agent was hurt during the first half by the collapse of Monarch airlines, but this looks like a short-term issue
May 10, 2018

The after-effects of the collapse of Monarch airlines are still working their way through the European travel industry. In the case of On The Beach (OTB), it was £1.1m-worth of lost bookings during the six months to March. Monarch’s demise effectively ripped out about 15 per cent of flight capacity to beach destinations during the period, but it also deterred those travellers who choose to holiday in the winter (when it’s cheaper), as prices for remaining seats increased markedly. Chief executive Simon Cooper said other airlines are in the process of filling these gaps, but there is some lead time until agreements are reached.

IC TIP: Buy at 572p

Outside of Monarch, On The Beach is making progress. Daily unique website visits grew by a quarter to 34.1m, while repeat purchases increased by 2.6 per cent to 42.9 per cent of visitors. On The Beach has continued to invest in its technology platform to make it easier for customers to use, especially since well over half of UK traffic now comes via smartphones. Sunshine.co.uk, which the company acquired last year, is also now on the same platform.

Analysts at Numis expect pre-tax profits of £34.2m in the year to September 2018, giving EPS of 21.2p, up from £28.5m and 17.7p in FY2017.

ON THE BEACH (OTB)   
ORD PRICE:530pMARKET VALUE:£691m
TOUCH:528-531p12-MONTH HIGH:650pLOW: 350p
DIVIDEND YIELD:0.4%PE RATIO:52
NET ASSET VALUE:79p*NET DEBT:11%
Half-year to 31 MarTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201738.19.96.10.9
201845.310.86.51.1
% change+19+9+7+22
Ex-div:31 May   
Payment:29 Jun   
*Includes intangible assets of £70.8m, or 54p a share