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Scisys ready for lift-off

The software company’s space division has enjoyed stellar growth, while other segments have gone from strength to strength
May 10, 2018

Software solutions group Scisys (SSY) came out as a top pick from our most recent IC Alpha GARP screen, which attempts to identify cheap growth companies. On closer inspection, we think the company's shares, which boast a price/earnings growth (PEG) ratio of just 0.9, shows some real promise.

163p
Tip style
Growth
Risk rating
High
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points

Strong sales growth and record order book
Rising margins
Diverse of end-markets
Attractive valuation

Bear points

Potential for Brexit-related disruption
Historic currency-related issues

Scisys provides software solutions to a range of niche markets, including space, defence, media and broadcast. Its prestigious client roster includes the European Space Agency and the BBC, and strong customer relationships means its divisions experience healthy levels of recurring revenue and repeat orders.

Recent trading has been impressive and a 41 percent rise in the year-end order book to a record £91.3m (£36.5m of which is due in 2018) suggests momentum will not be quick to abate. Ignoring £8.8m of sales that represent costs passed directly to customers at no profit, Scisys reported 28 per cent growth in professional fees last year to £48m. The result was buoyed both by excellent trading within its space division and a maiden contribution from Annova – a German newsroom software business bought in 2016.

The adjusted operating margin also climbed one percentage point to 8 per cent, with adjusted operating profits rising 44 per cent to £4.6m. A substantial increase in finance costs, reflecting debt taken on with the acquisition of Annova in 2016, and a noteworthy increase in tax paid, meant a more muted 9 per cent increase in underlying EPS to 10p.

All this took Scisys towards its medium-term targets: £60m sales and a double-digit margin. What's more, net debt has fallen markedly from £10.2m at the end of 2016 to £5.9m at the end of last year. And, while reported sales are expected to fall next year, this should not be a concern as it reflects the impact of new accounting standards (IFRS 15) on how the group records its no-profit, pass-through revenues.

True, Scisys has endured difficulties in the past. When we last covered the company way back in 2015, its half-year results revealed a £1.4m write-down on a large fixed-priced contract and a significant hit from the weakening euro – the currency in which its contracts were priced. Today, however, Scisys has reduced the impact of exchange-rate movements – thanks to Annova, whose contract with the BBC boosts sterling-based cash flows.

For management, Annova presents strong 'cross-fertilisation' opportunities with its media and broadcast (M&B) division. M&B itself enjoyed 9 per cent revenue growth to £8.7m last year, supported by international expansion. While the enterprise solutions and defence division saw a slight drop in sales to £16.5m, space was the star performer. Sales here rose 18 per cent to £23.5m and the order book more than doubled to £34.1m.

Space order wins are particularly encouraging as Brexit uncertainty could hurt this division, although management suggests the situation may potentially create extra business. A €3.9m (£3.4m) deal announced post-period-end with Airbus provides some further comfort, and Scisys is considering a number of potential strategies to mitigate potential Brexit upset, including re-domiciling the company while retaining its Alternative Investment Market (Aim) listing.

SCISYS (SSY)    
ORD PRICE:163pMARKET VALUE:£48m
TOUCH:161-165p12-MONTH HIGH:165pLOW: 94p
FW DIVIDEND YIELD:1.6%FW PE RATIO:12
NET ASSET VALUE:87p*NET DEBT:23%
Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201536.10.61.31.8
201645.73.09.02.0
201757.23.89.82.2
2018**53.04.411.72.4
2019**54.55.213.92.6
% change+3+18+19+8
Normal market size:1,000   
Matched bargain trading    
Beta:1.22   
*Includes intangible assets of £21.1m, or 71p a share **finnCap forecasts, adjusted PTP and EPS