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Premier builds momentum

The food manufacturer enjoyed a far better second half, resulting in a best sales performance in five years
May 15, 2018

The best sales performance in five years helped to lift Premier Foods' (PFD) shares on results day. Grocers and food retailers continue to outperform their non-food counterparts, and Premier is no exception. Despite a slow start to the year, annual revenues grew by 3.6 per cent, registering 5.3 per cent growth in the second half and a 7 per cent acceleration in the final quarter, signalling real momentum. Margins, which had been under pressure through cost-push inflation and sterling devaluation, also showed improvement as FY2018 drew to a close.

IC TIP: Hold at 38.5p

Chief executive Gavin Darby credited the group’s international business, as well its partnerships with Nissin and Mondelez International, for the year’s performance. Sales outside of the UK rose by a quarter at constant currencies – effectively doubling in the past three years – while partnerships now contribute more than half of reported revenue growth. Looking at products, Premier’s own-brand sweet treat ranges grew fastest, with revenues up nearly 17 per cent to £58.2m

Analysts at Shore Capital are reviewing current-year forecasts of pre-tax profit of £74.2m and EPS of 7.2p (from £74.2m and 7.2p in FY2017).

PREMIER FOODS (PFD)  
ORD PRICE:38.5pMARKET VALUE:£324m
TOUCH:38.5-38.7p12-MONTH HIGH:45pLOW: 36p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:43
NET ASSET VALUE:113p*NET DEBT:52%
Year to 31 MarTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£bn)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2013 (y/e 31 Dec)8404.4-12.8nil
2015**960-136.0-12.7nil
2016772-13.04.1nil
201779012.00.7nil
201881920.90.9nil
% change+4+74+29-
Ex-div:na   
Payment:na   

*Includes intangible assets of £1.07bn, or 128p a share **15-month period