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B&M faces tough comparatives

The discount chain has enjoyed a stellar year of growth – but can it continue?
May 31, 2018

Discount chain B&M European Value Retail's (BME) yearly figures were largely what analysts expected to see, but a cold March did results in a slower start to the spring/summer season. In that month alone, like-for-like sales fell 6 per cent, which puts a dampener on what was otherwise a good year for the company.

IC TIP: Hold at 378p

Fast forward eight weeks into the new financial year and like-for-like sales are already 3 per cent ahead, although volatile weather patterns have led to uneven trading. By the time first-quarter numbers hit the market, analysts expect an early Easter to have wiped out some of that growth, too – around 0.5 per cent – but they insist underlying trends are positive.

After all, last year the group benefited from consumers trading down to cheaper items, particularly in the grocery category. This helped justify a net 39 new openings, and has laid the foundations for a further 45 new sites this year. The acquisition of Heron Foods also boosted last year’s adjusted cash profit by £11.7m.

Analysts at Peel Hunt still expect pre-tax profit of £298m for the year ending March 2019, giving EPS of 24.1p, compared with £222m and 18p in FY2018.

B&M EUROPEAN VALUE RETAIL (BME) 
ORD PRICE:410.12pMARKET VALUE:£4.12bn
TOUCH:412-412.1p12-MONTH HIGH:436pLOW: 334p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.7%PE RATIO:22
NET ASSET VALUE:*NET DEBT:£535m
Year to 31 MarTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20141.35-14.3-1.9nil
20151.6561.73.43.4
20162.0415512.54.8
20172.4318314.35.8
20183.0322918.67.2
% change+25+25+30+24
Ex-div:28 Jun   
Payment:6 Aug   
*Negative shareholders' funds