Join our community of smart investors

High yielding Character set for turnaround

The toy designer, manufacturer, and distributor is on the mend after its third-largest customer went into administration last year, with new products set to launch later this year
July 19, 2018

The bankruptcy of Character’s (CCT) third-largest customer, Toys R Us, last year took its toll on the designer, manufacturer, and distributor of toys. At the same time it was hit by discounting by industry rivals selling off of excess inventory and a nasty foreign exchange hit. But now analysts reckon that the issue of Toys R Us has been worked through and excess stock at toy stores has largely been sold off. What's more, with trading at the start of 2018 showing a marked turnaround, this may be a major inflection point for Character, propelling its high-yielding shares upwards.

IC TIP: Buy at 519p
Tip style
Value
Risk rating
High
Timescale
Short Term
Bull points

Sharp trading upturn
New products to launch
Net cash position
Attractive dividend

Bear points

Foreign exchange exposure
Turbulent retail market

The pain from the failure of Toy R Us and discounting by rivals was plain to see in the half-year results. Sales were down 18 per cent to £50.5m, and underlying pre-tax profit fell 37 per cent to £4.5m. An ongoing risk for the group is that a significant proportion of costs are in US dollars. In the first half this meant a £3.9m charge relating to currency movements, compared with £570,000 the previous year.

But there are now reasons for optimism. Indeed, higher-margin UK sales hit record levels in January and February, which helped to improve the gross profit margin from 32.2 per cent in 2017 to 35.3 per cent. UK sales make up about three-quarters of group revenue.

The brands that Character works with are well known. In-house ranges, where the group does everything from design to distribution, include Peppa PigStretchTeletubbies and Scooby Doo. Exclusive, third-party lines include Little Live Pets and Mashems. Meanwhile, the group believes there are strong prospects for a number of new products scheduled to launch during the second half of the year including a new range of Pokémon products.

The group looks well positioned to benefit from the recent pick-up in demand due to the skill with which it appears to have navigated the first-half downturn. Indeed, despite the torrid trading, the group started 2018 with virtually no excess stock. Meanwhile, a rise in inventory at the end of February to £8.0m, compared with £6.2m a year earlier, was attributed to "significant increases in stocks in transit to service the higher UK demand". Indeed, slow moving inventory was described as "minimal" at the time of the half-year results.

The company is in a strong financial position, too, with a healthy net cash position. This should support the attractive dividend payout that was 1.54 times covered by earnings at the half-year stage. And while the difficult first half will weigh on full-year numbers, recent trading news has sparked earning forecast upgrades. Broker Panmure Gordon recently pencilled in EPS upgrades of 5 per cent for the current and next two financial years.

CHARACTER (CCT)  
ORD PRICE:519pMARKET VALUE:£110m
TOUCH:510-528p12-MONTH HIGH:540pLOW: 357p
FORWARD DIVIDEND YIELD:4.4%FORWARD PE RATIO:11
NET ASSET VALUE:128pNET CASH:£14.3m
Year to 31 DecRevenue (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)*Earnings per share (p)*Dividend per share (p)
20159913.245.79.0
201612112.645.215.0
201711513.450.519.0
2018*10811.039.121.0
2019*11813.046.723.0
% change+9+18+19+10
Normal market size:500   
Beta:0.60   

*Panmure Gordon forecasts, adjusted PTP and EPS figures