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Oxford Metrics progresses on five-year plan

The group saw strong sales and earnings growth, and proposed a small special dividend
December 4, 2018

For chief executive Nick Bolton, Oxford Metrics’ (OMG) full-year results to September were “all about up” – a broadly accurate summation. Strong top-line momentum meant accelerated progress further down the P&L, with adjusted pre-tax profits for the software provider rising by nearly a third to £5.2m. Meanwhile, cash from operations climbed by a fifth to £6.7m, underpinning management’s decision to hike the dividend substantially – with a 1p special payout bringing the effective yield to 3.5 per cent.

IC TIP: Buy at 71.5p

Following a period of investment in FY2017, the group made good progress in the second year of its five-year strategy to double profits and triple recurring revenues, evidenced by a 190 basis point uplift in the gross margin, while recurring revenues (ARR) have increased by 42 per cent since the start of the plan.

Segmentally, Yotta – which provides cloud-based infrastructure asset management – enjoyed a 95.3 per cent retention rate among software-as-a-service customers. But an ARR growth rate of 16.5 per cent to £5.7m was slightly below bosses’ expectations after slower-than-anticipated international momentum. Meanwhile, Vicon, which offers motion-measurement analysis, “really did have a stonking year”, according to Mr Bolton – reporting record revenues of £24.4m and adjusted pre-tax profits of £7.3m – well ahead of management’s expectations.

House broker N+1 Singer expects adjusted pre-tax profits of £6m and EPS of 3.7p for FY2019 (from £5.2m and 3.5p in FY2018).

OXFORD METRICS (OMG)  
ORD PRICE:71.5pMARKET VALUE:£89m
TOUCH:70-73p12-MONTH HIGH:83pLOW: 58p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.1%PE RATIO:22
NET ASSET VALUE:24p*NET CASH:£12.2m
Year to 30 SepTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201425.6-0.1-0.10.50
201525.74.83.90.65
201626.35.13.91.00
201729.23.72.61.20
2018**31.74.63.21.50
% change+9+25+27+25
Ex-div:13 Dec   
Payment:7 Mar   
*Includes intangible assets of £12.4m or 10p a share. **Excludes special dividend of 1p – payable on 25 Jan 2019 to shareholders on the register on 14 Dec 2018 (ex-date 13 Dec 2018.)