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Seplat makes its income case

With its full-year results the Nigeria-based oil and gas group has now declared 15¢-worth of distributions for 2018
March 8, 2019

Nigeria’s Seplat Petroleum (SEPL) had a good 2018. After several years of weak oil and gas prices and operational disruption, the joint Lagos- and London-listed stock met its production targets, saw operating profit almost triple to $310m (£236m), refinanced its capital base, and restarted dividend payments. Less than three months into 2019, and a revolving credit facility has been completely retired, and the ANOG gas project has been sanctioned.

IC TIP: Hold at 126p

Much of this shift has hinged on a return to normalcy at the Forcados pipeline, which transports oil and gas from Seplat’s fields in the Niger Delta to the coast. The network was hit by a force majeure in 2017, but uptime rose to 85 per cent last year, and the overdue payments from the state-owned Nigerian Petroleum Development Company were eventually cleared.

Even the largesse Seplat normally extends to its lawyers and bankers softened, as professional and consulting fees fell two-fifths to $12.9m. General and administrative costs dropped even further, from $24.1m to $12.8m.

S&P Capital IQ consensus estimates are for earnings of 16.6¢ a share this year, rising to 44¢ in 2020.

SEPLAT PETROLEUM (SEPL)  
ORD PRICE:126pMARKET VALUE:£741m
TOUCH:126-129p12-MONTH HIGH:160pLOW: 110p
DIVIDEND YIELD:9.1%PE RATIO:6
NET ASSET VALUE:276¢NET CASH:$135m
Year to 31 DecTurnover ($m)   Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
201477525250nil
201557087.112nil
2016254-173-29nil
201745244.047nil
20187462632615*
% change+65+499-45-
Ex-div:19 Mar   
Payment:23 May   
£1=$1.31. *Includes Q1 and Q3 half-year distributions of 5¢ a share, and a final dividend of 5¢.