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Momentum building for Severn Trent

Having already received fast-track status for AMP7, the group is looking to get a head start on 2020
May 21, 2019

Having completed the penultimate year of its current regulatory period (AMP6), Severn Trent (SVT) is looking to build momentum for the next one in 2020. The 12 months ending 31 March saw the group’s largest capital expenditure in a decade, with £769m invested in the asset base and a further £141m in renewing the infrastructure network. A similar level of investment is anticipated in 2020 as the group moves to complete remaining projects and get a head start on AMP7.

IC TIP: Buy at 1,938p

In the face of a £190m waste outcome delivery incentive (ODI) cap, the group still managed a cumulative return on regulatory equity (RoRE) of 9.1 per cent across AMP6, among the top performers in the sector. Having agreed an ODI cap increase with the regulator, the full benefit will be experienced next year. Without the ODI cap, FY2019 would have been a record year, with ODI outperformance equivalent to £91m. The group expects to earn at least £25m in customer ODIs in 2020, increasing the amount of outperformance payments rolled into AMP7 to at least £177m.

SEVERN TRENT (SVT)   
ORD PRICE:1,938pMARKET VALUE:£4.6bn
TOUCH:1,936-1,938p12-MONTH HIGH:2,104pLOW: 1,758p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.8%PE RATIO:15
NET ASSET VALUE:490p*NET DEBT:501%
Year to 31 MarTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20151.801484884.90
20161.7530313480.66
20171.6432813981.50
2018**1.7030110286.55
20191.7738513393.37
% change+4+28+31+8
Ex-div:13 Jun   
Payment:19 Jul   
*Includes intangible assets of £215m, or 91p a share **Restated