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Mitie making slow progress

The group’s FY2019 results exceeded pre-close guidance, but order book and margin pressures persist.
June 6, 2019

Two years into its transformation programme, there are tentative signs of progress at Mitie (MTO). Exceeding its self-admittedly conservative pre-close guidance, adjusted operating profit increased by 6 per cent to £88.2m for FY2019.

IC TIP: Hold at 149.2p

But in management’s own words “there remains more to do”. With contract renewals during the year having lower initial margins, this is expected to have a dilutive effect on operating profit growth in FY2020. Although the overall order book remained broadly flat at £4.1bn, in the group’s largest division, engineering services, the order book contracted by 11.6 per cent. This reflects a broader pattern of new contract wins and renewals being offset by the unwinding of existing contracts.

Exceptional costs of £38m (albeit lower than last year’s £82.1m) include £15.1m in restructuring costs from “Project Helix” and a £20m provision for pension debt. Targeting efficiencies in engineering services, the implementation of “Project Forte” is expected to cost a further £30m.

Analysts at Peel Hunt have revised their forecasts upwards, anticipating adjusted pre-tax profits of £79.4m and EPS of 17.4p in 2020.

MITIE (MTO)    
ORD PRICE:149.2pMARKET VALUE:£546m
TOUCH:149-149.8p12-MONTH HIGH:211pLOW: 106p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.7%PE RATIO:18
NET ASSET VALUE:*NET DEBT:£141m
Year to 31 MarTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20152.2741.59.711.7
20162.1591.920.112.1
20172.12-58.2-14.74.0
2018**2.03-15.4-4.94.0
20192.2236.48.34.0
% change+9---
Ex-div:27 Jun   
Payment:09 Aug   
*Negative shareholder equity, includes intangible assets of £345m, or 94p a share, **Restated