The rise of ecommerce, combined with the high cost of building new logistics space, has driven up demand for distribution warehouses that are close to the UK’s cities. Warehouse Reit (WRH) has benefited from the resulting rise in value of its portfolio and its growing rental income, which has backed generous dividend payouts in the short time its shares have been quoted. The shortage in urban logistics space has driven consolidation within the sector already, notably LondonMetric’s (LMP) acquisition of smaller rival A&J Mucklow in May. Given that Warehouse Reit’s shares trade well below its per-share net asset value it is feasible that it, too, could become a target.
Potential takeover target
Steep discount to net assets
Nice dividend yield
Demand for urban logistics space
Loan-to-value high end
The shares are thinly traded
Warehouse Reit's shares were launched on London’s junior market in late 2017, raising £150m for management to invest in warehouse assets in urban areas. The portfolio is focused on small- to medium-sized warehouses with good transport links, catering to tenants carrying out so-called ‘last mile’ delivery services. It also looks for buildings that offer long-term flexibility, such as the ability to subdivide larger units or the potential to change permitted use.
During its first full year as a quoted company, Warehouse Reit made a total return of 13.3 per cent, ahead of the 10 per cent target at its flotation, thanks to a 7.4 per cent rise in adjusted net asset value (NAV) and a generous 6p a share in annual dividends. One way Warehouse Reit boosts its returns is by refurbishing vacated units to raise rents. That can add between £5 and £7 per square foot (sq ft) in rental value, according to management. The company aims to spend 0.75 per cent of its gross asset value on capital expenditure each year, with a target return of at least 10 per cent. Last year, 62 lettings of vacant space were completed for rents 13 per cent more than expected, which generated an additional £2.1m in rental income.
Lease renewals also help boost like-for-like rental income – last year 46 were completed at an average 14.6 per cent above previous rents or 6 per cent ahead of estimated rental values. Since March, demand has remained strong. For example, at the start of the month Warehouse agreed a 10-year lease renewal with the distribution arm of Walgreens Boots Alliance on 113,000 sq ft of distribution space at a 42 per cent uplift to the previous rent paid.
WAREHOUSE REIT (WHR) | ||||
ORD PRICE: | 104p | MARKET VALUE: | £250m | |
TOUCH: | 103-104p | 12-MONTH HIGH: | 107p | LOW: 91p |
FORWARD DIVIDEND YIELD: | 6.3% | TRADING PROPERTIES: | nil | |
DISCOUNT TO FORWARD NAV: | 13% | NET DEBT: | 69% | |
INVESTMENT PROPERTIES: | £312m |
Year to 31 Mar | Net asset value (p) | Pre-tax profit (£m) | Earnings per share (p) | Dividend per share (p) |
2018* | 102 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
2019 | 110 | 18.1 | 6.4 | 6.0 |
2020* | 111 | 23.1 | 5.6 | 6.2 |
2021* | 119 | 28.4 | 7.1 | 6.5 |
% change | +7 | +23 | +27 | +5 |
Normal market size: | 3,000 | |||
Beta: | 0.21 | |||
†Eight months' trading | ||||
*Peel Hunt forecasts, adjusted NAV, PTP and EPS figures |