Join our community of smart investors

Buy Joules dual appeal

The group has made its online and in-store operations complement one another
September 26, 2019

Joules (JOUL) describes its brand as “traditional clothing with a twist”, and it’s a characterisation that would apply just as easily to its business model. It bears the hallmarks of a ‘traditional’ clothing brand, with a network of 125 stores (plus concessions and franchises) and a wholesale business with more than 2,000 stockists. But behind the bricks-and-mortar facade lies an extensive online operation, which is helping the group to thrive in the face of high-street challenges.

IC TIP: Buy at 263p
Tip style
Growth
Risk rating
High
Timescale
Medium Term
Bull points

Growth potential
Diversified sales channels
Net cash position
Attractive rating

Bear points

Head office spending
Brexit challenges

Most retailers attempt to use the buzzword ‘omnichannel’ to describe selling online as well as in shops. While Joules may prefer to describe its strategy as “total retail”, it has a better claim than most to making good use of all the selling channels at a modern retailer’s disposal. As of the latest full-year results, roughly half of the group’s retail sales were made online. Retail accounts for 73 per cent of revenue, with most of the rest from wholesale. The store estate continued to grow, with six net openings and total selling space increased by a tenth, and management has done an admirable job of making the online and high-street businesses complement one another. Approximately 20 per cent of in-store transactions came from a digital sale, such as click-and-collect.

However, the store portfolio is trading well regardless of the online operations, with 95 per cent of outlets making a positive contribution to profits on in-store sales alone. What’s more, management has been working to move stores or renegotiate lease terms. The store portfolio now has a “short and decreasing” lease length, with an average of 3.5 years to break.

The group has also been investing heavily in its e-commerce platform, expanding the store portfolio and improving in-store customer experience, as well as investing in social media expertise and content creation capabilities – management is expecting to increase investment in social media in coming years. Joules has also been converting existing wholesale customers to retail concessions to afford it greater control of its brand execution and product range. At the latest full year it had 34 concessions, up from just five a year earlier. 

Capital expenditure came in at £11.5m last year, including an initial £1m on its costly new head office. Spending is expected to jump to £20m in 2020 as investment in the head office ramps up. However, house broker Liberum expects the group to end the year in a net cash position of £6m, broadly flat on the prior year.

International expansion is another key part of the story. Overseas sales grew 43.5 per cent in the past year to just over 16 per cent of revenues, from 13 per cent a year ago. The US and Germany have been the standout performers, but the group is expanding in other markets too.

Joules  (JOUL)   
ORD PRICE:263pMARKET VALUE:£234m 
TOUCH:262-264p12-MONTH HIGH:319pLOW:200p
FORWARD DIVIDEND YIELD:1.1%FORWARD PE RATIO:15 
NET ASSET VALUE:59.5p*NET CASH:£5.8m 
Year to 26 MayTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)**Earnings per share (p)**Dividend per share (p)
201715710.19.21.8
201818613.011.82.0
201921815.514.22.1
2020**24017.015.12.5
2021**26719.617.33.0
% change+11+15+15+20
Normal market size:1,500    
Beta:1.03    
*Includes intangible assets of £17m, or 19.2p a share
**Peel Hunt forecasts, adjusted PTP and EPS figures