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Buy into new-look Coats

The world's leading industrial threads manufacturer is reaping the benefits of a savings initiative
October 10, 2019

Coats (COA) can trace its heritage back to the 1750s, and it has recently been working hard to get its business more in step with the times. Tough industrial markets, first-half currency headwinds and (now-resolved) supply-side issues have weighed on sentiment, but we feel a recent restructuring leaves the company well positioned, and its shares trading on an undemanding rating.

IC TIP: Buy at 71.6p
Tip style
Speculative
Risk rating
Medium
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points

Good management

Successful cost savings initiative

Strong metrics

Solid track record in acquisitions

Bear points

Weak industrial market

Cyclical

Coats has reorganised itself into two segments, both of which generate similar operating margins. Its apparel and footwear division accounted for 77 per cent of first-half sales and, as well as selling things such as thread and zippers, offers software solutions and services to its clients. The division is a global leader, with 20 per cent market share and it aims to use its scale to gain a competitive edge through efficiency and innovation, including addressing growing calls for the textile industry to become more sustainable. 

The group’s other division, performance materials, serves a series of niche markets in areas ranging from fibre-optics, to energy, to automotives. Adjusting for currency movements, first-half sales were up 1 per cent at apparel and footwear and 4 per cent at performance materials, and were ahead by 2 per cent for the group as a whole. However, a reported 3 per cent revenue fall highlighted the group’s exposure to currency movements. Geographically, Asia is the group’s largest market, accounting for 56 per cent of first-half sales, followed by the Americas at 24 per cent then Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA).

The decision to reorganise into the two new reporting divisions has accompanied a costs-cutting push by Rajiv Sharma, who has been chief executive since the start of 2017. Coats has exited seven ‘tail markets’ and ceased carrying out unprofitable work for customers as part of its revamp, which should deliver savings of $25m (£20.5m) in 2019, with total restructuring costs for the programme, which is scheduled to end this year, expected to come in at $30m. The benefit of the actions being taken was reflected in an increase in the first-half underlying operating margin from 13.7 per cent to 14.5 per cent, and margins are up from 9.5 per cent since 2015. The first-half improvements came despite rising input and operational costs.

The focus on cost savings has not stopped the company investing, with capital expenditure for this year earmarked at $45m-$55m. Spending is focused on product innovation, digital capability, talent and sustainability. Two innovation hubs have recently been opened, as has a waste treatment plant in Mexico. The group is also targeting bolt-on acquisitions. It acquired Indian business Threadsol in February, which provides software solutions to the apparel industry and which will help it optimise its fabric usage and further strengthen cost discipline.

The sale of Coats’ North American Crafts business in February brought in $37m, which has helped get net debt down to 0.9 times cash profit, which is below a target of one to two times. While this should give the group scope for continued investment while pursuing its progressive dividend policy, Coats’ balance sheet is not without issues, namely a gaping pension deficit. Following a triennial review, Coats is having to make pension top-up payments of $20m a year, plus annual admin payments of $4m. This noteworthy drain on cash flows is scheduled to continue until the end of 2028.

Coats (COA)    
ORD PRICE:71.6pMARKET VALUE:£1bn 
TOUCH:71.6-71.7p12-MONTH HIGH:92.2pLOW:69.0p
FORWARD DIVIDEND YIELD:2.2%FORWARD PE RATIO:11 
NET ASSET VALUE:20.9ȼ*NET DEBT:64% 
Year to 31 DecTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($m)**Earnings per share (ȼ)**Dividend per share (ȼ)
20161.461274.90.80
20171.511526.41.40
20181.421716.91.70
2019**1.411817.51.80
2020**1.431927.92.00
% change +6+5+11
Normal market size:500    
Beta:1.24    
*Includes intangible assets of $293m, or 20.5ȼ a share
**Berenberg forecasts, adjusted PTP and EPS figures
£=$1.23