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Speedy Hire gathers pace

As the equipment hire group continues to expand its SME customer base and capital-light services, 2020 could be key to unlocking construction activity
January 2, 2020

It's been a long road to recovery for Speedy Hire (SDY) from a medley of largely self-inflicted problems – low equipment availability, excessive focus on larger clients and poor customer service. Much of the improvement from its 2016 nadir has come from investment in digital technology to enable more efficient allocation of capital. Whereas broker Panmure Gordon characterises the previous set-up as “effectively running the business blind”, Speedy is now using artificial intelligence to streamline its product portfolio, ensuring the right equipment is in the right place at the right time. Asset utilisation in the UK and Ireland ticked up to 56.5 per cent  in the first half of the 2020 financial year, compared with just 44.5 per cent in 2016. Plans to use predictive analytics across more product lines should drive further progress. With £27.4m of capital expenditure on hire equipment during the half, the average age of the fleet has fallen to 3.2 years, compared with 4.2 years at the high point in 2017.

IC TIP: Buy at 75p
Tip style
Growth
Risk rating
High
Timescale
Medium Term
Bull points

Improving return on capital employed

SME growth

Capital-light services expansion

Election and Brexit boost

Bear points

Cyclical

Net debt

Speedy counts 85 of the UK’s top 100 contractors as customers, but Carillion’s collapse revealed the danger of over-exposure to large customers. Focus has shifted to expanding its higher margin small- and medium-sized enterprise (SME) customer base. SMEs now account for almost a fifth of hire revenue, but the market share amongst these customers is still lower than for the wider construction rental market, indicating growth potential. It appears that SMEs are weathering the challenging trading conditions better than larger peers. The first half of the year saw domestic hire revenue increase by just 0.9 per cent amid a more competitive rental market, downward pressure on rates and lost sales from Carillion’s liquidation. But like-for-like revenue from SMEs increased by 27 per cent, with better rates lifting the hire gross margin by 0.5 percentage points to 77 per cent.

The current construction downturn could threaten Speedy’s progress. But the industry outlook may take a positive turn if the new government follows through on its infrastructure promises and a clearer Brexit outcome releases pent-up business investment. Despite the precarious backdrop, management anticipates hitting full-year expectations.

Return on capital employed (ROCE) has been building in recent years thanks to improved asset efficiency, market share gains and cost discipline. For the six months to 30 September, ROCE, excluding amortisation and exceptional items, increased by 0.4 percentage points to 12.7 per cent. The year 2018 was the first time in a decade that ROCE exceeded the cost of capital, estimated by the group to be 9.2 per cent. Returns above cost indicate Speedy’s investments are creating value for shareholders. A push into higher-margin, capital-light services should propel ROCE closer to the 15 per cent  target.

Services now account for just over two-fifths of overall sales, reaching £84m in the first half of the year. Representing an increase of 14 per cent, this is in line with the group’s desire to achieve faster revenue growth in services than hire. Half of services revenue is derived from ‘partnered services’ – hiring out third-party equipment not included in the group’s own fleet. But training and testing are key growth areas, benefiting from increasing regulation and cross-selling opportunities to hire customers. Subsidiary Lloyds British is tapping into an equipment testing, certification and inspection market estimated to be worth around £850m. Meanwhile, training group Geason – acquired in December 2018 – saw a fourfold increase in revenue in the first half of the year, helping lift the gross margin by 0.7 percentage points to 55.2 per cent. Co-locating training centres in hire depots should limit overheads.

Reflecting £31m spent on acquisitions and £61m of capital expenditure, net debt increased by almost 30 per cent to £89.4m in 2019. The largest purchase was powered access equipment provider Lifterz, exploiting a health and safety-driven shift towards mobile elevated work platforms. But excluding £75.1m in lease liabilities, net debt dipped to £85.3m in the first half of this year and should reduce further following the sale of surplus land to Bellway Homes for £4m, compared with a £100,000 book value. House broker Liberum is forecasting net debt (excluding lease liabilities) will reach £76m by the 2020 year-end. Equivalent to less than one times forecast cash profits (Ebitda), this is well below the group’s target leverage multiple of 1.5 times.

SPEEDY HIRE (SDY)   
ORD PRICE:75.0pMARKET VALUE:£390m 
TOUCH:74.8-75.2p12-MONTH HIGH:75.5pLOW:45.0p
FORWARD DIVIDEND YIELD:3.3%FORWARD PE RATIO:12 
NET ASSET VALUE:40.3pNET DEBT:41% 
Year to 31 MarTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)*Earnings per share (p)*Dividend per share (p)
201736916.22.41.0
201837325.94.01.7
201939531.45.02.0
2020*42337.45.82.2
2021*43340.86.32.5
% change+2+9+9+14
NMS:7,500    
BETA:0.63    
*Liberum forecasts, adjusted PTP and EPS figures