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Buy Motorpoint's need for speed

The auto retailer earns high returns by selling cars at the steepest point of the depreciation curve
February 20, 2020

The cliche that new cars lose a third of their value when you drive them off the dealer's forecourt may be a generalisation, but it is also not too far from the truth. That's good news for Motorpoint (MOTR), which has carved out a profitable niche in the ‘nearly new’ market, selling cars that are less than two years old and have fewer than 15,000 miles on the clock. Given these cars are still in the steep part of the "depreciation curve" and losing value rapidly, speed is key here. Motorpoint specialises in providing the quick turnaround needed and has recently quickened its ability to turn stock into sales. 

IC TIP: Buy at 295p
Tip style
Growth
Risk rating
High
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points

Stock turnover improving

High return on capital employed

Healthy sales growth

Good dividend

Bear points

Thin margins

Challenging market

Not only is the company benefiting from being a specialist, but conditions in the used-car market remain relatively encouraging. In 2019, the used-car market hugely outperformed the new-car market, with sales down just 0.1 per cent, compared with a 7.3 per cent drop. 

In recent years, management has been investing in the construction of a new preparation centre in Peterborough, where it already has a dealership. The centre opened in the first half of the financial year, and has already led to efficiency improvements. Indeed, stock had historically accounted for a little over 10 per cent of revenues, but this fell to 8 per cent at the half-year results. This helped unlock around £10m, with first-half cash from operations up from £16.9m to £25.9m. It will also reduce reliance on stock financing, which stood at £66m at the half-year stage, included as ‘payables’ on the balance sheet. Holding less stock also reduces exposure to falling car prices if sales slow significantly – a major risk given the rapid depreciation of nearly new cars.

Selling nearly new cars is not a high-margin activity, with operating margins coming in at just 2.3 per cent last year. But Motorpoint’s ability to generate sales of over eight times the capital employed by its operations means last year’s return on capital employed (ROCE) was an impressive 20 per cent. Given the importance of turnover for returns, there is encouragement to be had from the record of strong sales growth in the years since its initial public offering in May 2016. True, sales growth in the last financial year fell below double digits for the first time since its IPO due to difficulty in the wider auto retail market, marked by political uncertainty and low consumer confidence. This continued into the first half, with a 1 per cent rise in revenue, but the group’s ability to grow and capture market share even in tough conditions provides grounds for encouragement.

Further growth will come from the group’s ongoing network expansion. It is opening a new, five-acre site in Swansea later this year, it’s 13th. Management is in discussions over several further sites, and a home delivery pilot is showing “encouraging early results”. The group has also been investing in its team, recently hiring a chief operating officer and chief technology officer to help improve overall efficiency and data usage.

Motorpoint (MOTR)   
ORD PRICE:295pMARKET VALUE:£268m 
TOUCH:294-296p12-MONTH HIGH:324pLOW:170p
FORWARD DIVIDEND YIELD:3.1%FORWARD PE RATIO:13 
NET ASSET VALUE:18.4pNET CASH:£10.3m 
Year to 31 MarTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)*Earnings per share (p)*Dividend per share (p)
20170.8215.712.64.23
20180.9920.816.76.60
20191.0622.918.77.50
2020*1.0922.920.48.05
2021*1.2024.523.49.00
% change+10+7+15+12
Normal market size:1,500    
Beta:-0.17    
*Numis forecasts, adjusted PTP and EPS figures