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Biffa set to be squeezed by Covid-19

The pandemic has lowered demand in the group's larger ‘industrial and commercial’ waste division
June 5, 2020

Biffa (BIFF) chief executive Michael Topham said Covid-19 had “overshadowed what was otherwise a very successful year”. The waste management group reported growth in net revenue – which excludes landfill tax – of 7 per cent to £1.1bn in the 12 months to 27 March, while underlying operating profit increased by 11 per cent to £91m.

IC TIP: Buy at 249p

Accounting for more than two-thirds of overall net revenue, the industrial and commercial (I&C) division generated 8 per cent growth to £604m. This was driven by acquisitions, in particular the full year contribution of Specialist Waste Recycling, purchased in March 2019 for £26m. The I&C segment has been most impacted by coronavirus disruption as shuttered businesses significantly reduced demand. With revenue currently 40 per cent lower than pre-pandemic levels, the group expects this to recover to 80-90 per cent by the March year-end.

The group is currently engaged in a historical landfill tax dispute with HMRC and a proportion of any recovered funds will be paid to preference shareholders. Excluding these obligations and lease liabilities, net debt came down 8 per cent to £285m, equivalent to 1.8 times underlying cash profits. Having paused acquisitions activity, curbed capital expenditure and scrapped the final dividend, Biffa believed it can avoid a “marked” increase in net debt this year. Nevertheless, management sought fit to agree an increase in its debt covenants at the September testing date. 

Peel Hunt expects adjusted pre-tax profit of £29.1m and EPS of 9.3p in 2021, rising to £50.2m and 16.1p the following year. 

BIFFA (BIFF)    
ORD PRICE:249pMARKET VALUE:£ 623m
TOUCH:249-250p12-MONTH HIGH:314pLOW: 165p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.0%PE RATIO:14
NET ASSET VALUE:164p*NET DEBT:114%**
Year to 27 MarTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20160.932.9-5.1nil
20170.99-18.7-10.92.4
20181.0838.312.46.7
20191.0921.57.27.2
20201.1656.418.32.47
% change+7+162+154-66
Ex-div:na   
Payment:na   
*Includes £329m in intangible assets or 132p a share, **Includes £258m in lease liabilities