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FTSE 350 Outlook: Centrica

Rising wholesale gas prices will not only lead to higher fuel bills for customers, but raise a concern for margins in Centrica's retail arm, British Gas
January 22, 2008

Gas distribution group Centrica told investors last month that rising wholesale gas prices - which prompted rival nPower to implement dramatic price rises recently - had reduced margins in its retail business, British Gas. However, they also boosted returns at upstream arm Centrica Energy, enabling the group to hit earnings forecasts for the year as a whole.

IC TIP: Hold at 340p

That said, it now seems inevitable that Centrica will have to raise prices in the months ahead, although it may be holding off making an announcement to help maintain the progress it has been making in winning back the 978,000 customers it lost in 2006. For investors, the possible impact on retail margins from further rises in wholesale prices is a concern. So the shares, which trade on a PE ratio of 12 for 2007, look high enough at 340p.

Company namePrice (p)Mkt val. (£m)P/E ratioDiv. yld (%)12M price chng.(%)Last IC view
CENTRICA336.512383.1310.13.37-7.49Fairly priced, 340p, 2 August 2007.