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Moss Bros measuring up

Moss Bros's recovery continues apace and, with scope to significantly lift profitability in the coming years, we rate the shares a buy
May 28, 2012

■ First-quarter like-for-like sales up 7.9 per cent

■ Ten more stores earmarked for modernisation in 2012-13

■ Continuing to run a surplus cash position

IC TIP: Buy at 43p

The impressive turnaround at suit specialist Moss Bros shows no signs of running out of steam. Like-for-like sales in the first 19 weeks of the financial year to 30 June 2012 climbed 7.9 per cent, an especially impressive performance as it was measured against strong growth of 8.9 per cent in the comparable trading period a year earlier.

As analyst John Stevenson at broker Peel Hunt points out, it's all the more noteworthy because, having reported underlying growth of 6 per cent in the first eight weeks, it marks an acceleration of growth in the last two months at a time when other retailers have complained about the negative effect of the wet weather.

However, while the current rate of sales growth is well ahead of the 4.5 per cent Mr Stevenson had expected, he's left his end of June 2013 EPS forecast of 1.3p unchanged as a result of the expected disruption to trading from this summer's Jubilee and sporting events. But, he says, initiatives such as the ongoing store refit programme and the scheduled launch of a new web platform later this year will help the company deliver material improvements in operating profit margins in the coming years, and it will also be able to capitalise on the short lease profile of its stores. He forecasts adjusted EPS of 2.2p in the year to June 2014.