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African Minerals offers recovery potential

RESULTS: Production downgrades and a hefty half-year loss have helped push African Minerals' shares down heavily in recent months - but they're now looking too cheap
September 11, 2012

African Minerals' shares - which had already hit a 12-month low last month - slipped 7 per cent on the back of these figures after the Sierra Leone iron ore miner revealed a fivefold rise in its half-year operating loss to $140.5m (£87.6m). But that severe de-rating could present a buying opportunity if, as management expects, the group meets its phase I annualised production run-rate of 20m tonnes during the second quarter of 2013.

IC TIP: Buy at 278p

The loss significantly reflected $86.9m of transaction costs associated with the group's strategic partnership with China's Shandong Iron & Steel Group. Shandong has invested $1.5bn in return for a 25 per cent stake in the company's Tonkolili project - thereby providing essential funding for the second phase of expansion. Moreover, and despite delays at Tonkolili - management downgraded year-end production guidance there for the second time in four months last month - the project is now back on track, with the bulk of the capital expenditure completed for the key infrastructure developments.

Meanwhile, new chief executive Keith Calder, a former Rio Tinto mining engineer, is confident that the phase I cash costs will come in at under $30 a tonne - low by industry standards.

AFRICAN MINERALS (AMI)
ORD PRICE:278pMARKET VALUE:£921m
TOUCH:277-278p12-MONTH HIGH:600pLOW: 236p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:242¢NET CASH:$672m

Half-year to 30 JunTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
2011nil-26.3-5.32nil
2012nil-86.0-26.2nil
% change----

£1=$1.58