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Premier Foods fights back

RESULTS: Serious cost cutting and strong marketing of its power brands are helping Premier get back on track, but big challenges remain
February 21, 2013

In the words of new chief executive Gavin Darby, Premier Foods (PFD) is "a place for people who really like a challenge". And, judging by its year-end results, management certainly has its work cut out.

IC TIP: Hold at 91p

One of the thorniest issues is the massive pension deficit, which swelled from £212m to £352m in 2012. Debt is another burden. While it fell by £44m to £951m, the figure was higher than expected. Much of the debt reduction was achieved by scrapping four non-core brands, which delivered £370m in disposal proceeds.

Premier is also making huge cost savings. The gains generated are being used to invest in the so-called power brands and introduce fresh products - much of last year's sales growth was achieved by a 60 per cent rise in consumer marketing. Grocery sales were up 5.6 per cent, but at lower margins, so that the divisional contribution fell 5.5 per cent to £196m.

Overall, underlying trading profits rose 11 per cent to £123m, in line with forecasts. The bread division continued to struggle, however, with sales down 0.7 per cent. The loss of a contract with the Co-op won't make this year any easier.

Broker Panmure Gordon has downgraded its 2013 EPS forecast from 29.4p to 25p (from 26.8p in 2012).

PREMIER FOODS (PFD)
ORD PRICE:91pMARKET VALUE:£218m
TOUCH:91-92p12-MONTH HIGH:185pLOW: 54p
DIVIDEND YIELD:NILPE RATIO:17
NET ASSET VALUE:169p*NET DEBT:235%

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20082.60-405.0-413.0nil
20092.5342.017.0nil
20102.2328.5-41.0nil
20112.00-259.0-95.9nil
20121.764.411.0nil
% change-12---

Ex-div: na

Payment: na

*Includes intangible assets of £1.39bn, or 580p a share

**Restated to reflect the 10:1 share consolidation in 2012