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Polymetal facing uncertainty

RESULTS: A volatile gold price, and the potential for rising costs, could prove bad news for shares in precious metals miner, Polymetal International
April 8, 2013

Russia and Kazakhtstan focused precious metals miner, Polymetal International (POLY), ramped-up production at several of its operational assets during 2012 - that allowed it to boost total gold equivalent production by 31 per cent to 1.063m ounces and to beat its original guidance of 1m ounces by 6 per cent. But recent volatility in the gold price will be a big factor for precious metals miners this year.

IC TIP: Sell at 875p

Bringing the Dukat and Varvara mines up to full production was a key achievement for Polymetal and the group has had some success at keeping a lid on costs, too. All-in cash costs, a measure which is intended to include all ongoing operating and capital expenditure, fell 15 per cent in the year to $1,047 (£684) per gold equivalent ounce - largely because of lower capital expenditure at its mines. Although, keeping costs down may prove tough going forward against a background of rising Russian inflation. Moreover, the company received an average realised gold price of $1,631 per ounce - a 5 per cent increase on 2011. Management expects 1.2m ounces of production in 2013, with the group's Mayskoye mine set to come on-stream this year.

Broker Canaccord Genuity forecasts pre-tax profit for 2013 of $919m, giving EPS of 157¢ (2012: 103¢).

POLYMETAL INTERNATIONAL (POLY)

ORD PRICE:875pMARKET VALUE:£3.36bn
TOUCH:874-875p12-MONTH HIGH:1,231pLOW: 726p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.3%†PE RATIO:13
NET ASSET VALUE:553¢NET DEBT:49%

Year to 31 DecTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20100.9330667.0nil
20111.3340979.020.0
2012^1.8561710331.0†
% change+39+51+30+55

Ex-div: 15 May

Payment: 19 Jun

†Excludes 50¢ special dividend

£1=$1.53