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African Minerals cuts guidance

RESULTS: African Minerals has reduced its full-year sales expectations following maintenance issues - leaving catalysts for share price upside looking hard to spot
September 11, 2013

Reduced sales guidance and one-off charges put a damper on African Minerals' (AMI) maiden half-year results as a producer - although progress has been maintained towards a targeted annual production rate of 20m tonnes of iron ore.

IC TIP: Hold at 167p

Half-year cash profit reached $99m (£63m), but a compensation payment to its partner, Shandong Iron & Steel Group, along with other exceptional items, meant a $57.7m operating charge. A $39.7m impairment on investments held for sale was also booked and the group was hit with a combined finance and interest-related charge of $70.4m - although that was largely offset by a $103.8m fair value gain. Overall, the group reported a half-year net loss of $18.3m.

Cash costs in the half were $43 a tonne - but the $36 a tonne figure for June demonstrates that management's $30 a tonne target is achievable. However, the ability to reduce unit costs through expanding sales volumes has been compromised by maintenance issues - that meant a reduction in full-year export guidance from 13m-15m tonnes to 11m-13m tonnes. That reduction has placed additional pressure on the company's cash position and has already led to a more measured approach to phase II expansion at the group's Tonkolili mine in Sierra Leone.

Credit Suisse anticipates adjusted full-year pre-tax profit of $105.4m, giving adjusted EPS of 17¢ (from 10¢ in 2012).

AFRICAN MINERALS LIMITED (AMI)
ORD PRICE:167pMARKET VALUE:£554m
TOUCH:166p-167p12-MONTH HIGH:363pLOW: 165p   
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:10
NET ASSET VALUE:271¢NET DEBT:48%

Half-year to 30 JunTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (p)
2012nil-86.1-26.2nil
2013405-24.6-9.34nil
% change----

£1=$1.58