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Immupharma awaits outcome

TIP UPDATE: Immupharma is caught up in fallout of a hostile bid for its main development partner and the shares now trade on a massive discount to analyst estimates of the value of the company's assets
April 5, 2011

Times could be about to get interesting for Immupharma and its lead lupus product Lupuzor. The company develops treatments for auto-immune diseases and is expecting an interim analysis from a new US Phase IIb clinical trial in the third quarter which could bolster the case for Lupuzor. However, a hostile bid by Valeant for Cephalon, its US development partner, could result in Immupharma being handed back the rights to Lupuzor.

IC TIP: Buy at 71p

Chief executive Dimitri Dimitriou said he was unconcerned if this happens: "Cepahlon has funded a lot of work on Lupuzor - the milestone payments are non-refundable - and it is now a valuable product. We were in talks with other partners at the time of the original deal and we will partner it again, but this time with more clinical data." Mr Dimitriou also said that GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), which launched lupus-treatment Benlysta earlier this year, has now set the pricing trend for others to follow - GSK plans to charge up to $35,000 per year for Benlysta.

Immupharma has other products in development and hopes to start Phase IIb trials in Europe later this year for its brain tumour drug IPP-204106. Research and development spend fell from £4m to £1.6m and the cash pile should last a further three years.

IMMUPHARMA (IMM)

ORD PRICE:70pMARKET VALUE:£58m
TOUCH:69-71p12-MONTH HIGH:100pLOW: 64.5p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:19pNET CASH:£14.8m

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20060.05-2.55-3.63nil
20070.063.34-4.24nil
20080.054.866.23nil
200922.059.1010.46nil
20100.03-2.47-2.44nil
% change-100---

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