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Alpha Pyrenees survives avalanche

TIP UPDATE: A huge dividend - and massive upside if the market turns - leaves Alpha Pyrenees' shares looking worth the considerable risks
March 22, 2010

The economic downturn has been horrible for French and Spanish commercial property group Alpha Pyrenees - but the group is now on a much firmer footing. It has renegotiated the terms of its vast debt pile - Alpha now doesn't face a loan-to-value covenant test until early in 2014 and will not have to refinance any borrowings until February 2015.

IC TIP: Buy at 32p

Meanwhile, having suffered a 21 per cent drop in property values from the peak in its French portfolio, which comprises 90 per cent of the total by value, the market is now stabilising. The Spanish market remains horrid, though.

Earnings fell after Alpha lost two tenants last year and the board has re-based the dividend to 0.9p per quarter (3.6p a year), which is considered sustainable. A successful conclusion to negotiations over financing terms also means that the £16.4m of cash held by group can now be invested at what could prove to be the bottom of the cycle.

Alpha Pyrenees (ALPH)

ORD PRICE:32pMARKET VALUE:£37.6m
TOUCH:31-32p12-MONTH HIGH:41pLOW: 25p
DIVIDEND YIELD:22%TRADING STOCK:nil
PREMIUM TO NAV:94%  
INVESTMENT PROPERTIES: £265mNET DEBT:

£225m

Year to 31 DecNet asset value (p)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200690.3-2.70-1.75.0
200897.111.74.76.0
200855.5-64.1-54.46.6
200916.5-31.6-26.97.0
% change-70--6

Ex-div: 17 Mar

Payment: 1 Apr

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