Join our community of smart investors

Tough times for Savills

RESULTS: Savills' healthy cash pile, and its focus on non-transactional divisions, should see it through tough times - but the upturn could be some way off.
March 11, 2009

The full-year numbers reported by Savills made it clear just how grim life is for property advisory companies. However, the group is stoically looking to the future and its healthy cash pile - albeit some £32m lighter than a year ago - puts it in a good position to make it through the current maelstrom to bluer skies beyond.

IC TIP: Hold at 238p

Still, there’s no escaping the fact that the here and now remains pretty awful. The management has found no noteworthy green shoots to speak about. The best guess of chief executive, Jeremy Helsby, is that the first of Savills’ many international markets to recover may be London residential property, due to the amount of money waiting to be invested and the increased attractiveness to foreign buyers following sterling’s fall. However, even this seems some way off, with the group expecting another year of low transaction numbers in 2009. Many other markets continue to deteriorate, with Asia Pacific regarded as being in a particularly perilous state.

The group has been making the most of the pain in its markets, though, to offer advice to those hit hardest by the downturn. While transaction-based revenues have been battered, it's moving into new promising areas such as corporate finance. Activities undertaken by this division very much reflect the times, including debt advice, recovery consultancy and loan restructuring. Getting involved with the down-and-outs of the property market has yet to lead to any noticeable rise in bad debts so no new provisions have yet been needed for non-payment of bills. Savills also says it has noted a “flight to quality” prompted by the downturn, which has helped it win market share in areas such as consultancy, management and valuations.

In order to adapt to lower revenues, the group has reduced costs by cutting staff and closing offices. Annualised savings of £28m have already been made and a further £20m of savings have been identified. The cost of this restructuring, and impairments to goodwill, have resulted in £50.8m of exceptional costs which was partially offset by a £16.9m exceptional profit from the sale of Savills’ share of a joint venture.

SAVILLS (SVS)
ORD PRICE:238pMARKET VALUE:£314m
TOUCH:237-238p12-MONTH HIGH:375pLOW: 168p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.8%PE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:158p*NET CASH:£45.7m

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200431758.336.49.25
200537458.634.112.0
200651884.446.316.0
200765185.945.518.0
2008569-7.70-9.309.00
% change-13 - --50

Ex-div: 8 Apr

Payment: 13 May

*Includes intangible assets of £155m, or 118p a share