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Qinetiq helps itself

RESULTS: Qinetiq is making all the right moves, but a “fog of uncertainty” hangs over the defence sector
November 23, 2011

Government spending cuts may be damaging Qinetiq's sales - organic revenue fell 9 per cent in the first half - but an 18-month-old self help programme continues to deliver improvements to both margins and cash flow. Analysts rushed to upgrade estimates after chief executive Leo Quinn told them full-year profit would be 20 per cent higher than first thought. Broker JP Morgan Cazenove now expects adjusted pre-tax profit of £133m and EPS of 16.2p in the 12 months to March 2012, up from £115m and 14.2p last year.

IC TIP: Hold at 125p

The group's global products division proved the key to a 27 per cent surge in underlying operating profit to £82.6m and 370 basis-point growth in margin to 11.2 per cent. The unit, responsible for the best-selling Talon robots and anti-RPG netting Q-net, doubled profits to £37m and margin swelled to 20.5 per cent. Cost cutting was evident in strong numbers from the UK services division, offsetting a slowdown in the US on budget uncertainty and lower-margin work for NASA.

A £62m working capital inflow and lower capital spend on government contracts, led to underlying cash flow from operations of £157m and larger than expected reduction in net debt to £145m - a record low and down 56 per cent in the past year.

QINETIQ (QQ.)

ORD PRICE:125pMARKET VALUE:£826m
TOUCH:124-125p12-MONTH HIGH:138pLOW:    96p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.0%PE RATIO:7
NET ASSET VALUE:65p*NET DEBT:34%

Half-year to 30 SepTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2010865-37.6-6.4nil
201174080.510.20.9
% change-14---

Ex-div: 18 Jan

Payment: 17 Feb

*Includes intangible assets of £617.7m, or 94p per share