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Bowleven reservoir estimate triples

RESULTS: It will be another busy year with the drill for Bowleven and management is having success behind the scenes, too
March 26, 2012

Bowleven has suffered a dose of the blues since being dumped by potential suitor, Dragon Oil - but upgrading volume estimates and an imminent deal to start monetising its assets offshore of Cameroon, holds promise. With results in from Sapele-3 - drilled late last year in the Douala basin – the oil-in-place estimate jumps to 615m barrels (mmbbls) from 171mmbbls, and gas triples to 1.5 trillion cubic feet (equivalent to about 268mmbls). Yet the shares trade well below brokers' net asset value (NAV) estimates.

IC TIP: Buy at 101p

The group looks to have found a buyer for the gas, too. Germany's Ferrostaal and state oil company SNH are building a fertiliser plant and are close to signing a 10-year supply deal. Expect first delivery in 2015, with similar contracts set to follow. This year's fully-funded drilling programme also looks promising. Up to four appraisal wells are planned for the Etinde permit, kicking off with IM-5 on block MLHP-7. Applications to safeguard assets and convert discoveries to development licences will be made soon, with final approval likely by early 2013. Meanwhile, a first exploration well at onshore permit Bomono is earmarked for the second half and farmout talks are ongoing. Bowleven is also close to offloading its EOV permit in Gabon for $40m (25m), mostly in cash.

BOWLEVEN (BLVN)

ORD PRICE:101pMARKET VALUE:£297m
TOUCH:100-101p12-MONTH HIGH:387pLow: 59p  
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:198¢*NET CASH:$124m

Half-year to 31 DecTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
2010nil-15.7-8.00nil
2011nil-5.50-2.00nil
% change----

*Includes intangible assets of $413m, or 140¢ a share

£1=$1.59