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Great Eastern goes full throttle

RESULTS: Indian coal-bed methane producer Great Eastern Energy is ramping up production fast and continues to benefit from premium gas prices
May 15, 2012

A glut of shale gas production may have driven down natural gas prices to 10-year lows in the US, but it's a different story in India's West Bengal state - allowing coal-bed-methane producer Great Eastern Energy to continue realising premium prices from its Raniganj block there.

IC TIP: Buy at 318p

Indeed, the group's average realised price in the period was $12.50 (£7.76) per million British thermal units (mmbtu), compared with a current US price of $2.37 per mmbtu. Accordingly, operating profits rose to $11.5m from $4.2m. Moreover, with the block close to several major industrial centres, management's plan to persuade local customers to use its gas - rather than importing liquid-based fuels, typically at between $13 and $19 per mmbtu - is gaining traction. Gas contracts for current and future delivery also grew 20 per cent in the year to 37.5m cubic feet per day (mmcf/d) and the completion of a second gas-gathering station takes processing capacity from 15mmcf/d to 32mmcf/d. True, the rupee weakened against the dollar during the year, which hit dollar reported profits, but production is growing - 40 new wells should be drilled in 2012.

Broker Arden Partners expects adjusted pre-tax profit of $10.7m for 2013, giving EPS of 7.2¢ ($5.4m and 4.6¢ for 2012).

GREAT EASTERN ENERGY CORPORATION (GEEC)

ORD PRICE:318pMARKET VALUE:£379m
TOUCH:310-325p12-MONTH HIGH:428pLOW: 280p
DIVIDEND YIELD:NILPE RATIO:NA
NET ASSET VALUE:62¢NET DEBT:118%

Year to 31 MarTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20080.12-2.51-0.46nil
20090.70-6.54-1.20nil
20102.95-8.47-15.0nil
201113.5-0.26-0.50nil
201223.7-2.75-4.70nil
% change+76---
£1=$1.61