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Cohort ranks higher

RESULTS: Upheaval in the UK defence industry has hit Cohort's shares, but an improving market means they're now too cheap
June 25, 2012

The wrenching upheaval in the UK defence market, prompted by government efforts to bring the ministry of defence's (MoD) equipment budget under control, seems to be reaching a successful conclusion as results for defence equipment and software specialist Cohort indirectly demonstrated. For example, better order intake of £79.3m, up from £55.6m in 2011, meant that revenue forecasts for this year are already 67 per cent covered. This fully justifies a positive investment outlook for the company.

IC TIP: Buy at 101p

Even while defence spending has been undergoing fundamental changes, Cohort benefited from working on projects where funding was ring-fenced, such as the Astute class submarine and a new electronic warfare database to the MoD. That helped the MASS division increase sales by 11 per cent to £26.1m, and underpinned a 12 per cent underlying increase in the total order book to £107m.

Chief executive Andy Thomis said that Cohort had been restructured as a series of small businesses, which had allowed much faster decision-making. He added that the defence market had stabilised as restructuring of the armed forces came to an end, but that there was still specific weakness in areas such as consulting.

Broker Investec forecasts adjusted pre-tax profits of £6.9m and EPS of 14.2p in the year to April 2013 (from £6.5m and 15.5p last year).

COHORT (CHRT)

ORD PRICE:101pMARKET VALUE:£41.2m
TOUCH:99-103p12-MONTH HIGH:125pLOW: 67p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.9%PE RATIO:9
NET ASSET VALUE:128p*NET CASH:£14.1m

Year to 30 AprTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200857.15.6012.81.45
200978.66.5012.61.75
201078.12.755.632.05
201165.12.706.792.40
201275.44.1611.32.90
% change+16+54+66+21

Ex-div: 22 Aug

Payment: 19 Sep

*Includes intangible assets of £31.2m, or 79p a share