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Mucklow solid, but toppy

RESULTS: Income gains have been offset by valuation losses at Midlands landlord, Mucklow
September 5, 2012

Midlands-based industrial landlord Mucklow continues to perform well, but the stunning share price gains of the past eight months sit uneasily with falling property values.

IC TIP: Sell at 361p

Strip out property revaluations and half-year pre-tax profit rose 10 per cent in the period to £13.4m. Rents have been flat, so that reflects a first-half reduction in the void rate to 6.5 per cent and - more importantly - acquisitions. With rental yields (8.1 per cent) much higher than the cost of debt (4.1 per cent), Mucklow has very sensibly been buying properties, including two last year for £5.8m. Yet its balance sheet remains very strong, with a lower loan-to-value ratio than most of the big real-estate investment trusts. Chairman Rupert Mucklow says he'll continue to buy if he can find sellers of well-located, modern properties.

The bad news was that the investment portfolio was written down by £15m - a fall of 5.6 per cent. That wiped out virtually all of the group's rental income in the reported results as well as reducing net asset value (NAV). Mr Mucklow blames a thin market, with little transactional evidence for surveyors to use in valuations.

Broker Arden Partners expects adjusted NAV per share to increase to 300p for 2013 (297p in 2012).

A & J MUCKLOW (MKLW)

ORD PRICE:361pMARKET VALUE:£217m
TOUCH:351-365p12-MONTH HIGH :403pLOW: 280p
DIVIDEND YIELD:5.3%TRADING PROP:£0.45m
PREMIUM TO NAV:22%
INVESTMENT PROP:£252mNET DEBT:39%

Year to 30 JunNet asset value (p)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2008371-26.7-45.917.68
2009266-52.0-86.717.68
201031036.060.917.97
201131412.922.418.51
20122950.110.2819.07
% change-6-99-99+3

Ex-div: 28 Nov

Payment: 2 Jan