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InterContinental in fine fettle

RESULTS: Strong results from InterContinental Hotels help justify the share price run, but trading on 20 times forward earnings, the good news is now largely priced in
February 19, 2013

Hotel giant InterContinental (IHG) has started its new financial year strongly after delivering an impressive set of full-year numbers.

IC TIP: Hold at 1938p

The hotel group enjoyed a bumper 5.2 per cent increase in revenue-per-available-room (RevPAR) over the year built on rate rises of 3.2 per cent and a 1.2 percentage point improvement in occupancy levels. While third-quarter RevPAR growth slowed, coming in at 3.9 per cent, there appears to be little reason to worry about prospects. Indeed, RevPAR jumped 6.6 per cent in January, helped by the earlier timing of the Chinese New Year, which resulted in 21 per cent growth in Greater China, a region which accounts for 10 per cent of group profit.

Performance in the Americas, which contributes 63 per cent of profit, was impressive and should be helped in 2013 by the relatively limited number of new hotels openings. Following 6.1 per cent RevPAR growth in the region last year, InterContinental reported an impressive 7 per cent rise in January. Trading in Europe has been weaker, but looks stable.

There was no major news on the sale of the New York Barclay and the InterContinental London Park Lane sale process is now under way. Broker Panmure Gordon believes proceeds from the sales could fund a $1bn share buy-back programme.

InterContinental Hotels (IHG)
ORD PRICE:1,938pMARKET VALUE:£5.2bn
TOUCH:1,936-1,938p12-MONTH HIGH:2,009pLOW: 1,375p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.1%PE RATIO:16
NET ASSET VALUE:115¢*NET DEBT:$1.1bn

Year to 30 SepTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (c)Dividend per share (c)
20081.903169141.4
20091.54-64.07341.4
20101.6339710148.0
20111.7753215955.0
20121.8455619064.0
% change+4+5+19+16

Ex-div: 20 Mar

Payment: 31 May

£1 = $1.549

*Includes intangible assets of £447m, or 167¢ a share