Accelerating profits in North America sparked a scramble to board National Express (NEX), even though the government scrapped its senior citizens concession scheme - meaning a £16m hit for the transport group after losing 1m coach passengers. That explains the 9 per cent drop in pre-tax profit to £164.1m, after stripping out hefty rail bid costs and other one-offs, which was clearly better than expected.
Keeping nearly all its US school bus contracts and winning 26 new ones increased underlying revenue there by 3 per cent. While cost-cutting and route adjustments secured sector-leading margins and a 23 per cent leap in the division's underlying operating profit to £59.1m. Management has found savings of $7m (£4.6m) following the purchase of Petermann, too, and further savings are likely this year. A slight dip in demand on intercity routes since the autumn and a weak euro trimmed Spanish profits by 7 per cent to £83.8m. Still, margins improved, urban revenues grew and prompt payments by hard-up local governments helped generate an extra £59m of cash. Back here, popular corporate and student travelcards nudged bus profits up 4 per cent to £34.1m and cost-cutting helped offset fuel costs and lower government subsidies. Losing the East Anglia franchise carved 38 per cent off UK rail profits to £26.7m, but a two-year extension to its c2c line looks likely and two contracts in Germany start in 2015.
Broker Liberum Capital expects adjusted pre-tax profit of £135m in 2013, giving adjusted EPS of 20.5p (from 25.5p in 2012).
NATIONAL EXPRESS (NEX) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
ORD PRICE: | 218p | MARKET VALUE: | £1.12bn | |
TOUCH: | 217-218p | 12-MONTH HIGH: | 256p | LOW: 163p |
DIVIDEND YIELD: | 4.5% | PE RATIO: | 18 | |
NET ASSET VALUE | 174p* | NET DEBT: | 92% |
Year to 31 Dec | Turnover (£bn) | Pre-tax profit (£m) | Earnings per share (p) | Dividend per share (p) |
---|---|---|---|---|
2007 | 2.77 | 110 | 40.4 | 22.7 |
2008 | 2.71 | -83.5 | -17.6 | nil |
2009 | 2.13 | 40.2 | 12.0 | 6.00 |
2010 | 2.24 | 129 | 19.9 | 9.50 |
2011 | 1.83 | 69.8 | 11.8 | 9.75 |
% change | -18 | -46 | -41 | +3 |
Ex-div: 24 Apr Payment: 17 May *Includes intangible assets of £1.26bn, or 247p a share |