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Wincanton back on the road

RESULTS: Wincanton has stopped the rot, but little economic growth and fierce competition is limiting progress
June 14, 2013

Wincanton’s (WIN) revenue fell again last year after the logistics group was hit by lower volumes of business from some customers, in-sourcing by others and the closure of its loss-making foodservice business. The containers business is facing headwinds and retail customers are struggling, but chief executive Eric Born believes revenue won't fall any further. A bigger than expected 12 per cent increase in underlying pre-tax profit to £32.1m is definitely a confidence boost.

IC TIP: Hold at 66.5p

New business with Tilda and Lafarge, and extra work with the big supermarkets and the NHS meant Wincanton’s logistics operation was the key driver. Events in the prior year led to a 10 per cent fall in divisional revenue, but there were legacy benefits, too, and a 70 basis-point margin improvement to 4.1 per cent nudged underlying operating profit up a tenth to £38m. Higher margin bundled operations for Morrisons, Sainsbury’s and Asda helped, and Mr Born says returns could go slightly higher. He’ll cut costs if there's a hint of them falling. That’s what held margins steady at the struggling containers business where volume growth is negligible.

Net debt of £108m was also better than expected, yet average debt of £201m for the year bares the scars of massive European expansion a decade ago, and is still too high. Expect a "modest" chipping away ahead of refinancing in a few years' time.

Investec thinks new accounting rules will trim underlying pre-tax profit and EPS to £23.2m and 14.6p (from £32.1m and 20.4p in 2012).

WINCANTON (WIN)

ORD PRICE:66.5pMARKET VALUE:£80.9m
TOUCH:66-67p12-MONTH HIGH:81pLOW: 31p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:4
NET ASSET VALUE *NET DEBT:£108m

Year to 31 MarTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20092.3620.011.614.9
20102.183.01.614.9
20111.333.63.74.8
20121.20-47.4-35.3nil
20131.0924.815.8nil
% change-10---

*Negative shareholder funds of £286m