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RESULTS: In common with integrated peers, BP's full-year figures were hit by tight refining margins, but there was uncharacteristically good news from the Russian front.
February 4, 2014

Full-year results for BP (BP.) were broadly in line with consensus, but it joins a growing list of western oil majors whose earnings have been constricted by tight refining margins and rising costs. Though valuations for the group still ride on an upcoming negligence ruling in relation to Deepwater Horizon, shareholders can take encouragement from strong production growth in the North Sea and the Gulf of Mexico, together with the contribution linked to BP's 20 per cent stake in Russian energy giant, Rosneft.

IC TIP: Hold at 467p

At the operating level, the group reported a 14 per cent dip in underlying replacement cost (RC) profits to $22.8bn (£14.0bn). This was largely attributable to the performance of BP's downstream segment - refining and marketing - where underlying RC profits nearly halved to $3.6bn. BP's fuels business had to contend with weaker refining margins in the US, in addition to bearing the costs of the large-scale Whiting refinery upgrade in the American midwest. Refinery throughput in the US fell by 45 per cent to 0.73m barrels per day, reflecting the impact of the sale of the Carson and Texas City refineries. The reduction in scale and a tightening spread on Brent versus WTI crude prices meant that BP's average marker margin per barrel fell to $15.4 in 2013, from $18.2 the previous year.

The Rosneft stake added $2.2bn to underlying RC profits during the second half of the year, which will come as a relief to chief executive Bob Dudley. Numbers indicate that the new strategic deal in Russia could prove even more profitable than BP's previous benighted relationship with the TNK oligarchs.

BP recorded a highly encouraging reserves-replacement ratio of 129 per cent for 2013, against just 77 per cent for 2012. The group made seven discoveries from its participation in 17 exploration wells through the year, including the Gila prospect - BP's third Paleogene discovery in the Gulf of Mexico. Organic capital expenditure (excluding the Rosneft deal) was $24.6bn through the year, with guidance pitched at a similar level for 2014.

BP (BP.)
ORD PRICE:467pMARKET VALUE:£86bn
TOUCH:467-467p12-MONTH HIGH:500pLOW: 427p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.1%PE RATIO:6
NET ASSET VALUE:699¢*NET DEBT:19.3%

Year to 31 DecTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($bn)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (p)
200924616.888.535.3
2010309-4.83-19.84.25
201137638.813618.1
2012 (restated)38818.157.921.5
201339630.212423.2
% change+2+67+114+8

Ex-div: 12 Feb

Payment: 28 Mar

£1 = $1.63 *Includes intangible assets of $34.2bn, or 185¢ a share