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Direct Line braces for pricing pressure

RESULTS: Direct Line's special dividend makes for a fat yield, but motor-premium rates look set to slide during 2014
February 27, 2014

Motor-focused insurer Direct Line (DLG) saw full-year profits soar, largely reflecting better-than-expected reserve releases on the back of improving claims trends. It also announced a second 4p special dividend (on top of December's 4p special payout), mostly supported by disposal proceeds from the sale of its life and stolen-vehicle businesses.

IC TIP: Hold at 263.9p

But the good news largely ends there. First, Direct Line’s motor rates slipped 3 per cent amid highly competitive conditions and, worryingly, management think motor gross premiums could slide as much as 10 per cent during 2014's first quarter. Then there are the weather-related losses. Recent UK storms and flooding weather will inflict a £70m-£90m hit on the home division, possibly with a further £20m loss at the commercial unit. That is no calamity, but it is another earnings drag.

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