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Songbird takes off

RESULTS: Songbird's Canary Wharf stake has started to deliver bumper returns.
March 31, 2014

Songbird Estates (SBD) owns about two-thirds of Canary Wharf Group, which in turn owns the famous skyscraping offices and subterranean boutiques of the Isle of Dogs in east London. Trading last year provides a striking example of how the London real estate recovery is spreading beyond the West End. Underlying profits were actually a little lower at £22.4m, but the headline numbers were transformed by a £856m net revaluation of the property portfolio - substantially ahead of the £216m recorded a year earlier. Geared up by the company's complex and debt-heavy capital structure, that boosted underlying book value (NAV) by an extraordinary 38 per cent. Analysts are reviewing their NAV estimates in light of this sharp increase.

IC TIP: Buy at 219p

Once again, it was the retail side of the business that led the way, with the portfolio of over 300 shops fully let for the third year running. With a high number of lease renewals allowing a material increase in rents, the retail portfolio gained 15 per cent, with growth accelerating in the second half. But it was the much larger office portfolio that provided the surprise boost. After years of tracking sideways, it posted a 9 per cent valuation gain for the year, of which 7 per cent came in the second half. Overall rental income rose 4 per cent to £274m.

Plans to diversify the group's portfolio include initial planning approval for a 1.4m sq ft residential development at the Shell Centre on the South bank - although this remains hostage to a planning enquiry. Meanwhile, immediately east of the Canary Wharf estate, a planning application has been submitted for a 4.9m sq ft development for office, residential and retail use. The total development pipeline amounts to around 11m sq ft - the largest of any London developer.

SONGBIRD ESTATES (SBD)
ORD PRICE:219pMARKET VALUE:£1.62bn
TOUCH:217-219p12-MONTH HIGH:219pLOW: 135p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilDEVELOPMENT PROPERTIES:£1.11bn
DISCOUNT TO NAV:24% 
INVESTMENT PROP:£5.33bnNET DEBT:135%

Year to 31 DecNet asset value (p)*Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200916833557.7nil
201018746441.3nil
2011190-213-9.0nil
201221020215.9nil
20132901,03784.8nil
% change+38+413+433-

*Adjusted NAV