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Bellway, just too cheap

Major housebuilders have recovered strongly over the past three years, some more than others - although Bellway still looks the best value of the bunch.
June 12, 2014

Shares in major UK housebuilders have retreated from the peaks touched in February. That's because there was mounting concern that the Bank of England would move to stop the housing sector overheating. But has the correction been overdone? In the case of Bellway (BWY), whose shares have fallen 16 per cent from February's peak, we believe it has.

IC TIP: Buy at 1,431p
Tip style
Growth
Risk rating
Medium
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points
  • Low rating against other builders
  • High return on capital
  • Virtually no debt
  • Strong margin improvement
Bear points
  • Vulnerable to government intervention
  • Cost pressures could accelerate

Using conventional valuation metrics against its rivals, Bellway is the cheapest on nearly every count. On broker Numis's estimates, the shares are trading on just 1.1 times net tangible assets for 2015 compared with Berkeley Group and Persimmon on nearly double that. Earnings growth is also pretty dramatic, too, because even though the shares have risen nearly fourfold from a trough of 378p six years ago, they are still on just seven times forecast earnings for 2015.

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