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Patisserie is on the rise

Shares in Patisserie Holdings have risen 14 per cent since its May flotation, reflecting ambitious expansion plans
November 27, 2014

In the glut of IPOs at the start of 2014, the arrival of Patisserie Holdings (CAKE) on London's Aim market in May attracted little fanfare. But the fast-growing owner of Patisserie Valerie is proving worthy of investors' attention. Last year, sales grew 27 per cent, boosting cash profits by the same rate to £15.3m if you exclude the costs associated with the IPO. The flotation proceeds were used to repay all long-term debt, so the balance sheet looks healthy, too.

IC TIP: Hold at 202p

The rapid growth rate can be attributed to a rigorous expansion plan. The £6.3m acquisition of premium-sandwich retailer Philpotts in February added 23 sites to the group's portfolio. But that didn’t stop management from opening a further 19 shops during the financial year, including its first site in Wales. The group now has a total of 148 stores, with a further 20 due to open this year. Most new outlets take just under two years to pay back the capital required to open them.

Management said it hopes to pay a maiden dividend this time next year. Analysts at Canaccord Genuity expect pre-tax profits of £14.2m for the current financial year, giving EPS of 11.2p (2012-13: £11.3m and 11.4p, respectively).

PATISSERIE HOLDINGS (CAKE)
ORD PRICE:202pMARKET VALUE:£202m
TOUCH:198-202p12-MONTH HIGH:215pLOW: 170p
DIVIDEND YIELD:NILPE RATIO:19
NET ASSET VALUE:55p*NET DEBT:3%

Year to 30 SepTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2011**40.54.9242nil
2012**49.56.2326nil
201360.18.28.9nil
201476.610.410.4nil
% change+27+26+17-

Ex-div: n/a

Payment: n/a

*Includes intangible assets of £17.9m or 18p a share

**Pre-IPO figures