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Quartix taps into great growth potential

Quartix offers investors exposure to the high-growth telematics market at a good price
February 12, 2015

Aim-listed Quartix (QTX) offers investors exposure to the burgeoning 'connected car' market. The group provides vehicle-tracking systems for fleets of commercial vehicles and motor insurers, which use its real-time proprietary technology to log the speed, location and behaviour of drivers. Founded in 2001, Quartix boasts a strong track record, and following its Aim listing at 116p in November, is shifting gears to drive long-term growth. There's a prospective yield of 3.4 per cent, which is forecast to grow strongly.

IC TIP: Buy at 145p
Tip style
Income
Risk rating
Medium
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points
  • Caters to budding connected-car market
  • Profitable, high-margin fleet business
  • Decent and growing dividend yield
  • Shares are attractively rated
Bear points
  • Concentrated shareholder base
  • Lower margins from insurance segment

Quartix has a lean business model that outsources product manufacturing and assembly, using third-party components. Sales are conducted through remote telephone marketing and price-comparison websites as well as a trusted network of distributors and installers. The telematics focus is on renting its technology to clients, which improves sales visibility. Recurring sales account for nearly 90 per cent of revenues from its main client base: commercial fleets of 3 to 50 vehicles.

 

 

Quartix also targets "pay as you drive" motor insurers, who use its black boxes to discourage bad driving, inform premiums and quickly react to incidents. That business took off in 2013 following a partnership with data-analysis firm Wunelli, and now accounts for a third of revenue.

While the insurance business is lower margin, it is allowing the company to boost production volumes, which lowers per-unit costs. Data also feeds into a mushrooming database on road usage, driving risks and accident hotspots, which could prove valuable down the road. It may also pave the way into new markets such as emergency services and commercial vehicle insurance.

Quartix, which plans to publish its maiden results in early March, continues to gain traction. In the UK, it has amassed over 5,000 commercial fleet customers and installed over 67,000 tracking systems for motor insurance providers - 23 per cent of those in the first half of 2014. It also operates in France - Europe's largest light commercial vehicle market - and opened its first US sales office in 2014. Ample headroom for growth remains, as only 28 per cent of commercial fleets in the UK and Ireland use vehicle tracking systems; that figure is a fifth in North America and a tenth in France. Next stop could be China, where telematic-unit installations are expected to more than double to 12m by 2018.

The upshot has been rapid growth. Pre-tax profit soared 45 per cent to £3.1m in the first half of 2014, driven by a 23 per cent surge in fleet sales. Operating cash flow leapt 57 per cent to £3.4m, underpinning a prospective 3.4 per cent yield this year. While hefty investments in research and overseas expansion are expected to weigh on short-term earnings growth, broker finnCap still expects an operating margin north of 30 per cent. It has pencilled in pre-tax-profit growth of 16 per cent in 2015 followed by 19 per cent in 2016, along with a 6.6p dividend - a 4.6 per cent forecast yield.

QUARTIX (QTX)
ORD PRICE:145pMARKET VALUE:£68m
TOUCH:140-150p12-MONTH HIGH:179pLOW: 116p
FORWARD DIVIDEND YIELD:3.4%FORWARD PE RATIO:15
NET ASSET VALUE:22p*NET DEBT:10%

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)**Earnings per share (p)**Dividend per share (p)
20116.71.5nanil
20128.32.8nanil
201313.24.68.3nil
2014**15.14.88.33.0
2015**16.95.59.45.0
% change+12+16+13+67

Normal market size: 2,000

Matched bargain trading

Beta: 0.17

*Includes intangible assets of £14m, or 30p a share

**finnCap forecasts, adjusted PTP and EPS figures