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Total Produce stays fresh

Lower prices dented profits at Total Produce last year
March 9, 2015

Six months ago we warned that Total Produce's (TOT) full-year results might be soured by the knock-on effects of Russian sanctions on fruit and vegetable imports from the EU. Our 'short-term sell' call proved on the money. Putin's geopolitical gambles, combined with an earlier than normal Spring growing season in Europe, led to over-supply, driving prices down. The result was a 5 per cent decline in like-for-like sales within Total's Eurozone business, which pushed divisional trading profit down 13 per cent to €20.2m.

IC TIP: Buy at 80p

Outside the bloc business was slightly peachier. In the UK and northern Europe like-for-like revenues came in flat as higher volumes offset lower prices. However, acquisitions drove reported sales up 3 per cent to €1.40bn, pushing trading profits up 8 per cent to €32.2m. The net outcome at group level was a 3 per cent dip in trading profit to €56.7m.

Growth through acquisitions is a central plank of Total's long-term strategy. Last year it spent €22m snapping up businesses across Europe and North America.

Broker Goodbody is likely to upgrade its 2015 adjusted EPS forecast by 6 per cent to 9.8¢, reflecting a stronger than expected 2014 (EPS of 9.5¢) and a change in the way the figure is calculated.

TOTAL PRODUCE (TOT)
ORD PRICE:80pMARKET VALUE:£265m
TOUCH:79-81p12-MONTH HIGH:100pLOW: 75p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.2%PE RATIO:13
NET ASSET VALUE:66¢*NET DEBT:6%

Year to 31 DecTurnover (€bn)Pre-tax profit (€m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20102.3433.65.31.78
20112.2834.47.11.89
20122.4336.46.42.08
20132.6448.29.42.27
20142.6744.38.82.4
% change+1-8-6+6

Ex-div: 30 Apr

Payment: 22 May

£1=€1.38

*Includes intangible assets of €162.6m or 49¢ a share