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Ultra Electronics set to sparkle

As defence budgets improve and demand for its niche, modern-day product range swells, Ultra Electronics looks well-placed to prosper
August 6, 2015

First-half results from Ultra Electronics (ULE) were disappointing, but that shouldn't undermine the longer-term prospects for the supplier of software and electronics to defence, security and energy markets. A recovering US defence budget and growing demand for anti-submarine military equipment and encryption capabilities could yield a sharp increase in sales growth and profits over the next few years, making now a good time to buy the shares.

IC TIP: Buy at 1770p
Tip style
Growth
Risk rating
High
Timescale
Medium Term
Bull points
  • Defence spending cuts bottoming out
  • Exposure to healthier markets
  • New organisational structure and cost-cutting bode well
  • Shares rated at uncharacteristic discount to peers
Bear points
  • Poor first-half results
  • Defence budgets always likely to be under pressure

Political headwinds in the US, together with the shock termination of a contract to install IT at Oman Airport, contributed towards half-year revenue sliding 3 per cent to £332m and basic pre-tax profit plunging more than two-thirds to £14.8m. There were, however, positives. First, investors had already been warned of a second-half bias in 2015. Second, the company's firm orders - buoyed by sonar, security and a contract with the Indonesian navy - cover 83 per cent of 2015's budgeted revenues. The end of the Oman Airport fiasco, which triggered a significant cash outflow, should also mean better cash generation.

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