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Polish problems ease at Stock Spirits

Polish headwinds hit the first-quarter numbers, but trading is now improving
August 21, 2015

The market thirstily imbibed drinks maker Stock Spirits Group's (STCK) half-year results, sending the shares up 10 per cent on the day they were released. The move to publish full-year guidance for the first time - full-year cash profits of €60m-€68m - may have helped gloss over the precipitous drop in adjusted operating profits to just over €5m (£3.6m).

IC TIP: Hold at 177p

Chief executive Chris Heath summed the performance up in sober fashion as "disappointing". The main issue was the eastern European group's hefty exposure to the Polish market. A confluence of factors - an excise duty increase in January 2014, aggressive competitor pricing and a change of the local management team - weighed heavily on trading in the first quarter, but business improved thereafter.

Lesley Jackson, chief financial officer, said the group had a clear plan that involves, among other things, focusing on premium brands and not chasing low-margin volume trade. It also has what management views as a strong pipeline of new products, and has renegotiated customer agreements in Poland to discourage what it described as "erratic customer ordering patterns" - customers holding out to the end of the period in hope of a better deal. The Czech Republic, Slovakia and Croatia all posted positive numbers.

Analysts at house broker Nomura expect pre-tax profit of €39m, leading to EPS of 14¢, down from €49m and 18¢ in full-year 2014.

STOCK SPIRITS (STCK)
ORD PRICE:192.75pMARKET VALUE:£386m
TOUCH:1192-193p12-MONTH HIGH:316pLOW: 172p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.9%PE RATIO:19
NET ASSET VALUE:176¢*NET DEBT:26%

Half-year to 30 JunTurnover (€m)Pre-tax profit (€m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
201413819.58.01.25
20151082.0nil1.25
% change-22-90-100-

Ex-div: 27 Aug

Payment: 25 Sep

*Includes in tangible assets of €360m, or 180¢ a share £1=€1.37