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Timing suits Polar bears

The Aim-listed fund manager thinks the worst of its outflows is behind it, after a market dip hit its assets under management
December 14, 2015

These half-year results look badly timed for Aim-listed asset manager Polar Capital (POLR). The snapshot of its assets under management came in a market dip at the end of September, when its $10.9bn (£7.2bn) compared unfavourably with the $12.3bn held at the end of March. By the end of November the figure had rebounded to $12bn.

IC TIP: Hold

There is a case to be made that Japanese equities - one of Polar's key specialisms - are not getting the credit they deserve. Despite the Nikkei 225 being up 10 per cent and the yen-sterling conversion rate remaining fairly flat, UK investors remain "stubbornly negative" towards the asset class, according to a Lloyds sentiment index.

Polar suffered outflows from its core Japan fund that outweighed inflows into its other strategies. Management was keen to highlight improved recent performance - the fund is back in the top quartile of its peer group. "There are encouraging signs that the worst [of the redemptions] may now be behind us," chief executive Tim Woolley told the market.

Core operating profit fell 11 per cent to £12.4m for the period, due to the reduced management fees, while pre-tax profits were boosted by a positive contribution from finance income owing to the group's own investment and hedging strategies.

Analysts at Canaccord Genuity expect adjusted pre-tax profits of £28.9m and EPS of 24.3p for the full year to March 2016, compared with £33.7m and 28.2p in FY2015.

POLAR CAPITAL (POLR)
ORD PRICE:360pMARKET VALUE:£324m
TOUCH:363-373p12-MONTH HIGH:490pLOW: 335p
DIVIDEND YIELD:6.9%PE RATIO:13
NET ASSET VALUE:77pNET CASH:£25.1m

Half-year to 30 SepTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201441.811.610.65.5
201539.911.710.45.5
% change-5+1-1-

Ex-div: 24 Dec

Payment: 15 Jan

£1=$1.51