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Crest Nicholson to join big payers after price rises outstrip costs

The housebuilder is on target to deliver a near 6 per cent dividend yield next year.
January 26, 2016

There is plenty for Crest Nicholson (CRST) shareholders to be cheerful about. The housebuilder's shares rose more than 6 per cent in early trading after it delivered strong full-year numbers, with the market further cheered by an increased dividend and a pledge to reduce dividend cover to twice post-tax earnings. On that basis, analysts at Barclays are forecasting a dividend yield of 6.1 per cent for the year to October 2017, putting Crest Nicholson among the best payers in the sector.

IC TIP: Buy at 546p

Trading last year saw completions up 8 per cent at 2,725, and the group remains on target to achieve its stated objective of £1.4bn turnover and 4,000 homes by 2019. Once again, build cost inflation was around 5 per cent, but this was more than covered by a 14 per cent rise in the average selling price to £318,000.

Crest Nicholson also has a very large land bank of more than 33,000 units, with a gross development value in excess of £10bn. Activity remains brisk, with forward sales at mid-January up 28 per cent to £512m, equivalent to more than a third of forecast output for the entire financial year.

Analysts at Barclays forecast adjusted pre-tax profit for the year to October 2016 of £188m and EPS of 59.5p, compared with £154m and 48.4p in FY2015.

CREST NICHOLSON (CRST)
ORD PRICE:546pMARKET VALUE:£1.37bn
TOUCH:545-547.5p12-MONTH HIGH:599pLOW: 364p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.6%PE RATIO:11
NET ASSET VALUE:251pNET DEBT:4.9%

Year to 31 OctTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2011*319-27nanil
2012*4086228.5nil
20135268127.16.5
201463711739.314.3
201580515449.319.7
% change+26+32+25+38

Ex-div: 10 Mar

Payment: 8 Apr

*Prior to flotation