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Cash-rich Somero looks too cheap

Cash-rich concrete-levelling technology firm Somero is too cheap given its potential
March 10, 2016

According to its corporate literature, Somero Enterprises ' (SOM) vision is for its laser-guided levelling machines "to be in use wherever a ready mix truck is discharging concrete for a horizontal concrete slab". It's a peculiar kind of dream, but one that neatly sums up the lowly-valued machinery group. That's because, by management estimates, Somero commands a 99 per cent share of the market for concrete levelling equipment. While that makes the Aim-traded company a very cyclical stock, we think there are good prospects of strong revenue growth in the coming years. Yet neither this outlook nor the potential benefits of a recent heavy investment programme to increase capacity and break into China look properly priced in to the shares. There is also an enticing prospective dividend yield on offer, including a 5¢ payment that goes ex-dividend on 16 March.

IC TIP: Buy at 152p
Tip style
Value
Risk rating
High
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points
  • Market dominance
  • Strong trading momentum
  • Bargain rating
  • Net cash
Bear points
  • Cyclical stock
  • Slow Chinese sales

Since the mid-1980s, the Florida-headquartered Somero has manufactured and distributed machines that automate the process of spreading and levelling concrete on commercial floors. These machines are more efficient, quicker and generally cheaper than conventional methods and are used by flooring contractors and construction groups in more than 90 countries. Chief executive Jack Cooney readily admits that "anyone can reverse engineer" the company's patented technology, safe in the knowledge that any new competitor would struggle to replicate Somero's round-the-clock training and support.

 

 

That has led to a sticky client base and unrivalled industry leadership, most clearly demonstrated in its most mature market, North America. Last year, strong demand for replacement machines and technology upgrades, as well as price rises and a 14 per cent jump in cement consumption in non-residential building construction contributed to a 32 per cent leap in regional sales to $49.2m (£34.5m). That's on top of 47 per cent sales growth in 2014 alone. What's more, industry analysts at FMI expect US construction to grow a further 7 per cent in 2016 and steadily until 2019, underpinning sales momentum in Somero's core market.

Management stated as much in recent full-year results, noting that December's record sales have continued into this year, and are supported by lengthy project backlogs for its customers. European sales - which are managed out of the UK - also ramped up 58 per cent to $5.7m, and sales in the Middle East and Southeast Asia were also good.

Cost reductions, improved productivity and price increases helped boost last year's gross profit margin by 180 basis points to 55.8 per cent and within touching distance of highs set in 2007. Less positive was the 35 per cent decrease in sales in China to £6.1m, where a slowdown in the construction sector hit equipment purchases. However, a trial to provide third-party financing to customers has so far been "very positive". While this may weigh on next year's cash flows, the rewards of establishing a market in China could be huge as its concrete consumption is more than 15 times that of the US. Investment in Somero's Concrete College in Shanghai should support these efforts. Somero looks well placed to fund this growth with net cash representing more than a tenth of the company's market cap, having risen $6m last year despite $3.3m of dividend payments and $4.2m of capital expenditure.

SOMERO ENTERPRISES (SOM)

ORD PRICE:152pMARKET VALUE:£85.0m
TOUCH:150-153p12-MONTH HIGH:157pLOW: 113p
FORWARD DIVIDEND YIELD:3.8%FORWARD PE RATIO:9
NET ASSET VALUE:68¢NET CASH:$12.6m

Year to 31 DecTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)*Earnings per share (¢)*Dividend per share (¢)
201345.16.513.02.2
201459.312.725.95.5
201570.217.620.06.9
2016*75.118.921.37.2
2017*80.821.023.78.1
% change+8+11+11+13

Normal market size: 3,000

Market makers: 6

Beta: 0.48

£1=$1.41. *FinnCap forecasts, adjusted PTP and EPS figures.