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Gulf Marine faces a hit on cash profits and earnings

The expansionist provider of support vessels to the offshore oil and gas industry is facing margin pressure.
March 22, 2016

With gross profits, dividends and fleet utilisation all up, full-year figures for Gulf Marine Services (GMS) again point to the group's resilience. But these headline figures were overshadowed by a profit warning released the day before full-year results, which forecast a 25 to 30 per cent year-on-year drop in earnings per share in 2016.

IC TIP: Buy at 75p

According to chief executive Duncan Anderson, the unusual decision to post a separate update followed a board meeting over the weekend*. This followed a meeting with a major client last week, in which Gulf Marine agreed to cut prices for the year - a trend management says is indicative of the cost-cutting programmes of other customers of its self-elevating support vessels (SESVs).

Narrowing cash flow and capital expenditure of around $150m (£105m) in 2016 mean net debt is likely to peak at $435m, testing borrowing covenant limits of four times cash profit. Management is comfortable with the leap in borrowing, although undrawn bank facilities were expanded to $225m in December.

Barclays has lowered this year's pre-tax income forecast to $54.8m, giving adjusted earnings per share of 15¢, against $77.1m and 24¢ in 2015.

GULF MARINE SERVICES (GMS)

ORD PRICE:75pMARKET VALUE:£262m
TOUCH:74.8-76p12-MONTH HIGH:137pLOW: 68p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.1%PE RATIO:5
NET ASSET VALUE:121¢NET DEBT:94%

Year to 31 DecTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (p)
2011*10726.322.2na
2012*14351.348.1na
2013*18473.368.2na
201419780.422.11.47
201522077.121.41.61
% change+12-4-3+10

Ex-div: 14 Apr

Payment: 16 May

£1=$1.43 *Pre-IPO figures