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Saga keeps its focus on the balance sheet

The insurance and travel group is focused on increasing cash to support its dividend
September 21, 2016

Saga (SAGA) made further progress in strengthening its balance sheet and de-risking its business during the first half. Signing a reinsurance agreement with Munich Re in February may have dampened revenue for its motor business, but it means around three-quarters of any loss made will be absorbed by the reinsurer. Without the one-off items that plumped up cash generation last year, group available operating cash flow reduced by 30 per cent to £97m. However, this was still enough for management to continue to pay down debt, which now represents 2.2 times cash profits at the period-end, from 2.4 times a year earlier.

IC TIP: Hold at 222.8p

Premium inflation meant increased churn within the motor insurance market, resulting in growth in core motor policies of around a quarter. The recently introduced motor panel meant a greater proportion of higher premium business being placed with third-party underwriters, freeing up capital. High competition in the home insurance market put pressure on premiums, pushing down sales by 6 per cent to £48m.

The cruise ship Saga Sapphire was out of action for 63 days between April and June, taking a chunk out of sales and trading profit for the travel business. However, the tour operating business increased revenue slightly thanks to more sales of long-haul and third-party cruise products.

Analysts at Numis expect adjusted pre-tax profits of £181m during the year to December 2016 and EPS of 13.5p (from £114m and a loss per share of 13.3p in 2015).

 

SAGA (SAGA)

ORD PRICE:222.8pMARKET VALUE:£2.49bn
TOUCH:222.8-222.9p12-MONTH HIGH:227pLOW: 171p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.5%PE RATIO:16
NET ASSET VALUE:101p*NET DEBT:47%

Half-year to 31 JulyTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20154781017.32.2
20164371107.92.7
% change-9+8+8+23

Ex-div: 6 Oct

Payment: 18 Nov

*Includes intangible assets of £1.5bn, or 137p a share