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High-yielding Next outperforms

RESULTS: Once again, Next has exceeded City expectations and is lavishing surplus funds on shareholders through another special dividend
March 21, 2014

Fashion retailer Next (NXT) has over-delivered on its full-year results again following an unexpectedly buoyant fourth quarter, and thanks to a combination of lower markdowns and higher full-price sales throughout the year.

IC TIP: Buy at 6708p

Retail sales grew 1.7 per cent to £2.2bn and revenue at Next Directory, the online and catalogue business, jumped 12 per cent to £1.3bn, pushing total 'brand' sales 6 per cent higher to £3.5bn. Underlying pre-tax profit, which excludes a big pension credit the previous year, rose 12 per cent to £695m, with an extra £48m from online sales and £12m from new shops making up for a flat year at existing stores. Big savings more than offset rising costs, too. The international retail and franchise business represented just a fraction of group turnover, but still grew nicely, and sales at Next's overseas web business almost doubled to £101m, contributing a third of overall growth at Directory.

Next is making important structural changes in 2014. Moving from a two season buying cycle to a four season model will make matching clothes to the weather much easier. It will also trial a standalone publication, Label, devoted entirely to non-competing non-Next brands, some of which are currently sold through Directory.

And, as promised, the cash-generative retailer is paying another quarterly special dividend of 50p rather than buying back its own shares. A payout in February will be followed by another in May, although Next says it will revert to spending surplus cash on share buy-backs if they offer a better return on equity.

The outlook is bullish, too. Management now estimates 4-8 per cent growth in brand sales for the year to January 2015, and a 5-11 per cent increase in underlying pre-tax profit to between £730m and £770m. Broker Cantor Fitzgerald expects a profit of £760m and adjusted EPS of 366p.

NEXT (NXT)
ORD PRICE:6,708pMARKET VALUE:£10.4bn
TOUCH:6,705-6,710p12-MONTH HIGH:6,795pLOW: 4,059p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.9%PE RATIO:18
NET ASSET VALUE:185pNET DEBT:181%

Year to 25 JanTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20103.4150518966
20113.3054321878
20123.4458025890
20133.56667320105
2014*3.74695366129
% change+5+4+14+23

Ex-div: 9 Jul

Payment: 1 Aug

*Excludes special dividends of 50p paid in Feb and 50p to be paid on 1 May