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Flybe in freefall

Flybe's shares fell after it posted a worse-than-expected operating loss for the first half
November 12, 2014

Shares in Flybe (FLYB) plunged 16 per cent after the regional airline posted an operating loss of £13m, worse than expected. Yet chief executive Saad Hammad’s recovery strategy appears to be taking off: strip out one-off costs and pre-tax profit rose 17 per cent to about £14m.

IC TIP: Hold at 111p

Passenger numbers fell 6 per cent and capacity shrunk 16 per cent, reflecting a retrenched route network and the closure of most of Flybe’s Gatwick routes, which it sold to Easyjet (EZJ). The airline also parachuted out of a loss-making joint venture in Finland, booking almost £10m in net impairment charges, and made a £6m provision for flight delay compensation after a recent court ruling extended airlines’ liability.

More positively, Flybe’s passenger revenue per seat climbed about 9 per cent to roughly £55, and the company partnered with Avios to introduce a more widely accepted loyalty scheme. Core operating costs fell 10 per cent, supporting the goal of delivering £24m in full-year cost savings. Flybe should also make savings in capital expenditure, having signed a deal to sub-lease cheap, efficient turboprops rather than purchasing pricy new jets.

Having slashed its full-year forecasts, broker Liberum expects a pre-tax loss of £1.3m. It reckons a lack of suitable aircraft and delays in the delivery of sub-leased aircraft will curtail Flybe's capacity growth, depressing earnings next year too.

FLYBE (FLYB)
ORD PRICE:111pMARKET VALUE:£239m
TOUCH:110-111p12-MONTH HIGH:151pLOW: 86p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:80pNET CASH:£50m*

Half-year to 30 SepTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2013 (restated)35113.818.1nil
2014308-15.3-7.1nil
% change-12---

*Excludes £22m in restricted cash